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While AI is capable of disrupting most knowledge work now, large enterprises move too slowly to implement it. Widespread job disruption will be delayed by organizational friction and slow adoption, not technological limitations, even if AGI were achieved today.

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While AI's technical capabilities advance exponentially, widespread organizational adoption is slowed by human factors like resistance to change, lack of urgency, and abstract understanding. This creates a significant gap between potential and reality.

Mustafa Suleiman predicts AI will automate most white-collar jobs in 18 months. However, this focuses on technological capability, ignoring the reality that large companies take years to approve and diffuse new technologies, making widespread adoption on that timeline highly unlikely.

Even with superhuman AI, Dario Amodei argues the economic revolution won't be instant. The real-world bottleneck is "economic diffusion": the messy, human process of enterprise adoption, including legal reviews, security compliance, and change management, which creates a fast but not infinite adoption curve.

Despite the power of new AI agents, the primary barrier to adoption is human resistance to changing established workflows. People are comfortable with existing processes, even inefficient ones, making it incredibly difficult for even technologically superior systems to gain traction.

Large firms prioritize protecting existing assets, leading to a "risk-first" mindset. This causes them to delay AI deployment by trying to eliminate all potential downsides—a futile effort that stalls innovation and makes them vulnerable to disruption by nimbler startups.

Concerns about immediate AI-driven job losses are premature. True labor displacement requires a lengthy phase-in period for broad enterprise adoption, building new application layers, and integrating AI into existing workflows and processes, which takes significant time.

Despite mature AI technology and strong executive desire for adoption, the primary bottleneck for enterprises is internal change management. The difficulty lies in getting organizations to fundamentally alter their established business processes and workflows, creating a disconnect between stated goals and actual implementation.

Unlike the dot-com or mobile eras where businesses eagerly adapted, AI faces a unique psychological barrier. The technology triggers insecurity in leaders, causing them to avoid adoption out of fear rather than embrace it for its potential. This is a behavioral, not just technical, hurdle.

Large enterprises operate on complex webs of legacy systems, compliance controls, and fragile integrations. Their high risk aversion and lengthy change management cycles create a powerful inertia that will significantly delay the replacement of established B2B software, regardless of how capable AI agents become. Enterprise architecture moves slower than market hype.

AI's "capability overhang" is massive. Models are already powerful enough for huge productivity gains, but enterprises will take 3-5 years to adopt them widely. The bottleneck is the immense difficulty of integrating AI into complex workflows that span dozens of legacy systems.