MFN's pressure on global pricing will change how innovation is valued. Truly disruptive drugs may command higher prices ex-US, while incremental "me-too" drugs in crowded classes will not. This will force pharma companies to shift R&D investment away from iterative improvements and toward therapies with radical treatment-disrupting potential.

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The U.S. market's high prices create the large profit pool necessary to fund risky drug development. If the U.S. adopted price negotiation like other countries, the global incentive for pharmaceutical innovation would shrink, resulting in fewer new drugs being developed worldwide.

The unpredictable nature of the Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy makes fixed launch plans obsolete. Companies must now create multiple, dynamic launch sequences tied to specific policy "signposts." This requires a shift towards continuous scenario planning and risk mitigation to remain prepared for various potential outcomes.

When prioritizing pipelines, biotechs must consider commercial viability, not just science. With China's ecosystem specializing in fast-follow "Me Too" drugs, such assets are becoming commoditized. To secure funding and premium exits, companies must focus on truly differentiated "first-in-class" or "best-in-class" programs.

While MFN pricing is seen as a major threat, it could have an unexpected positive effect. It would force companies launching new drugs to establish a GDP-adjusted global price from the start, ending the current system where the U.S. effectively subsidizes lower prices elsewhere.

Major pharmaceutical companies are now willing to deploy the "nuclear option" of pulling planned R&D investments to express displeasure with national drug pricing policies. This tactic, seen in the UK, represents a direct and aggressive strategy to pressure governments into accepting higher prices for innovative medicines.

To fix the R&D funding imbalance, the CEO proposes a 'one fair price' system. A drug would have one US price with no rebates, and a price in other developed nations would be indexed to their GDP per capita.

The gap between U.S. and international drug prices is a structural feature of the pharma economy. High profits from the U.S. market fund expensive R&D that ultimately benefits the rest of the world, which pays far less for the same innovations. This reframes the debate around high American healthcare costs.

The Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy forces a difficult choice: launch early in Europe and risk a lower US reference price, or delay the European launch to protect US revenue, slowing patient access. This dilemma upends traditional global launch strategies, creating commercial, ethical, and operational problems for pharma companies.

The Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy was strategically designed to be disruptive. The aim was less about implementing a specific pricing framework and more about forcing the pharmaceutical industry to change its behavior, re-evaluate global strategies, and engage in new types of negotiations, which has already proven effective.

New "voluntary" CMS programs, like BALANCE for obesity drugs, are creating a framework for Most Favored Nation (MFN) style pricing in the US. They allow manufacturers to trade lower, internationally-referenced prices for higher volumes, fundamentally altering the US pricing landscape from the inside out.