When considering debt, the most critical due diligence is not on deal terms but on the lender's character. Investigate how they have treated portfolio companies during challenging times. Partnering with a lender who will "blow you up" at the first sign of trouble is a catastrophic risk.
A successful biotech IPO isn't about attracting the public; it's about securing commitments from crossover investors beforehand. These investors must "bring their own beer to the party" by participating in the IPO. Their presence validates the company, stabilizes the offering, and is essential for attracting generalist funds later.
Post-IPO, credibility is a biotech's most valuable asset. Leaders should "under-promise and over-perform" by avoiding specific quarterly guidance for clinical milestones. Instead, use broader windows like "first half of the year" to build in flexibility, as clinical trials rarely run on a perfect schedule.
Getting a partnership deal done requires more than a good pitch; it requires an internal advocate. Leaders should leverage their network to identify and cultivate a champion inside the target company. This person is critical for navigating internal bureaucracy and pushing the deal over the goal line, as "there's a million ways for deals to die."
US biotechs increasingly use sites like Australia to accelerate development, as Create Medicines did by moving from concept to clinic in under 12 months. What was once viewed with suspicion is now a key strategy to generate data faster and more cheaply, competing with the speed of China's ecosystem.
When prioritizing pipelines, biotechs must consider commercial viability, not just science. With China's ecosystem specializing in fast-follow "Me Too" drugs, such assets are becoming commoditized. To secure funding and premium exits, companies must focus on truly differentiated "first-in-class" or "best-in-class" programs.
Timing a key data readout is critical for a newly public biotech. A readout in under three months is too soon, as investors will simply wait for the results before buying. Waiting longer than a year risks losing market relevance. The optimal window to maintain momentum is 6-12 months post-IPO.
Biotech leaders often fixate on share price after an IPO, but trading volume is the more important metric for long-term health. High liquidity attracts institutional investors and makes it easier to raise future capital. A stock that "trades by appointment" due to low volume signals a lack of interest and severely limits a company's financial options.
