State Street's Keith Crawford identifies three primary reasons to walk away from a carve-out. First is an uncertain perimeter—not knowing exactly what assets you're buying. Second is ambiguity around which employees are in scope. Third is discovering you cannot perform the core service on day one due to a missed dependency.

Related Insights

In a non-control deal, an investor cannot fire management. Therefore, the primary diligence focus must shift from the business itself to the founder's character and the potential for a strong partnership, as this relationship is the ultimate determinant of success.

Effective due diligence isn't a checklist, but the collection of many small data points—revenue, team retention, customer love, CVC interest. A strong investment is a "beam" where all points align positively. Any misalignment creates doubt and likely signals a "no," adhering to the "if it's not a hell yes, it's a no" rule.

It's common for a highly experienced agency leader to handle the sales process, only to pass the daily work to a junior-level employee after the contract is signed. To prevent this bait-and-switch, ask to meet the specific team members who will manage your account day-to-day before you commit.

A major hidden cost in carve-outs is vendor contract renegotiation, as change-of-control clauses can trigger price hikes. State Street mitigates this by stating in its LOI that the valuation assumes all third-party contracts remain at or near historical costs. This forces the issue early and protects the buyer's valuation model.

Approaching a business unit head to acquire their division is like "inviting the turkey to Christmas." They will naturally be defensive about their role and business. The correct strategy for a proactive approach is to engage their superiors, who have a broader strategic perspective on whether the unit is core to the parent company.

When sourcing a carve-out proactively, the seller may not be fully committed. State Street recommends the seller commission a sell-side Quality of Earnings (QofE) report. Their willingness to invest in this serves as a strong signal of their seriousness and provides a more accurate financial baseline, reducing the risk of surprises during diligence.

A process where the deal team hands off a signed transaction to a separate integration team is flawed. State Street integrates business and integration experts into the deal team from the start. This ensures diligence is informed by integration realities, timelines are realistic, and synergy assumptions in the deal model are achievable.

The historical advantage of simply carving out a business that a corporation undervalued is gone. Increased competition and complexity mean that without a critical eye and deep expertise, carve-outs are now just as likely to fail as they are to succeed, with average returns declining over the last decade.

A profitable business can be a bad investment if it creates unsustainable operational stress. This non-financial "return on headache" is a key metric for evaluating small business acquisitions, especially for hands-on owner-operators who must live with the daily consequences.

Experienced acquirers use templates for carve-outs, but it's a misconception they are fully scalable. Keith Crawford of State Street cautions that the final 20%—a company's unique operational setup and internal processes—requires custom analysis to avoid relying on past assumptions and missing deal-specific risks.