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Contrary to expectations, political scrutiny and potential regulation of institutional landlords are seen as beneficial. This attention elevates the national conversation about the housing shortage and validates private capital's role as part of the solution, ultimately creating a more stable long-term operating environment.
The most effective way to lower housing prices is to increase supply. Instead of artificially freezing rents, which discourages investment, policymakers should remove regulations that make building new units difficult. More construction creates more competition, which naturally drives down prices for everyone.
Bilyeu points to Houston as an example where heavy deregulation in housing has led to a large supply, keeping both rent and home prices relatively flat. He contrasts this with highly regulated markets where prices skyrocket, locking people out of the economic system.
A major disconnect exists in housing policy. Experts agree the root cause of unaffordability is a supply shortage, but voters focus on interest rates and investors. Politicians thus champion demand-side fixes and investor bans that are politically popular but have only a marginal impact on the structural problem.
Free market housing policies succeed because they align with the predictable human trait of selfishness. When regulations are removed, entrepreneurs build more housing to make a profit. This selfish profit motive directly serves the public good by increasing supply and lowering prices for everyone.
Housing scarcity is a bottom-up cycle where homeowners' financial incentive is to protect their property value (NIMBYism). They then vote for politicians who enact restrictive building policies, turning personal financial interests into systemic regulatory bottlenecks.
While public discourse focuses on mortgage rates, Zillow's CEO asserts the core problem is a massive, long-term housing supply deficit. The US is underbuilt by nearly 5 million homes, a problem originating from the 2008 financial crisis that has been exacerbated, not caused, by recent rate hikes.
New rent control laws don't just limit rent; they fundamentally cap the equity upside for real estate investors. By limiting potential cash flow growth from an asset, these policies make building or upgrading apartment buildings less attractive. This discourages the very capital investment needed to solve the housing supply crisis.
The housing crisis is primarily a supply problem manufactured by regulation. National studies show that permits, fees, and zoning delays account for 25% of a single-family home's price and over 40% of an apartment's cost. Deregulation is the most direct path to solving the affordability crisis.
Politicians at all levels actively restrict housing supply through zoning and other policies. This is not incompetence, but a deliberate strategy to protect and inflate property values, which satisfies the large and reliable homeowner voting bloc, ensuring re-election at the expense of renters and future buyers.
The primary obstacles to homeownership—high prices, large down payments, and expensive mortgages—are inadvertently fueling a boom for the single-family rental market. As millennials are priced out of buying, they become long-term renters, creating sustained demand for institutional landlords.