A "tuck-in" acquisition, where a PE firm buys a smaller company to merge into a larger portfolio company, shouldn't be underestimated. The strategic value to the existing platform can be so immense that the PE firm is willing to pay a premium multiple, often exceeding what a standalone strategic buyer would offer.

Contrary to popular belief, the primary buyers for mid-market B2B SaaS are not competitors (strategics) but private equity firms. They acquire companies as platforms or as "tuck-ins" to their existing portfolio companies, making them the most dominant force in this M&A landscape.

Experience shows that companies below a $50 million revenue threshold typically lack the necessary systems, processes, and people to support a significant transformation. This creates a bright-line rule for Speyside: go small for bolt-ons, but not for platform companies that require a turnaround, as the risk-weighted returns are unfavorable.

The reported Anthropic-Blackstone JV signals a larger private equity strategy. PE firms aren't just using AI for cost-cutting within portfolio companies; they're leveraging it as a tool to identify and consolidate struggling SaaS businesses, capitalizing on the "SaaSpocalypse" to buy distressed assets.

As the PE landscape became saturated with generalist firms, differentiation became crucial. Sector-specialist firms gained an edge by leveraging deep industry knowledge to win deals, often without offering the highest price. This hyper-focus, born from necessity, creates a durable competitive advantage.

A significant shift has occurred: private equity firms are no longer actively pursuing acquisitions of solid SaaS companies that fall short of IPO scale. This disappearance of a reliable exit path forces VCs and founders to find new strategies for liquidity and growth.

Contrary to the popular belief that strategic buyers dominate, 70% of B2B SaaS acquisitions between $2M and $20M ARR are made by private equity firms or their portfolio companies. This makes the market opaque for founders, who often receive bad advice and undervalue their businesses by not understanding the primary buyer class.

For years, founders of profitable but slow-growing SaaS companies could rely on a private equity acquisition as a viable exit. That safety net is gone. PE firms are now just as wary of AI disruption and growth decay as VCs, leaving many 'pretty good' SaaS companies with no buyers.

Private equity firms are no longer acquiring legacy B2B SaaS companies, even those with strong revenue ($50M-$200M+). Without a compelling AI-driven growth story, this once-reliable exit path for founders and VCs has effectively closed, leaving many companies unaware of their limited options.