Experience shows that companies below a $50 million revenue threshold typically lack the necessary systems, processes, and people to support a significant transformation. This creates a bright-line rule for Speyside: go small for bolt-ons, but not for platform companies that require a turnaround, as the risk-weighted returns are unfavorable.
Contrary to the prevailing wisdom of staying private as long as possible, VC Keith Rabois counsels his portfolio companies to pursue an IPO once they hit ~$50 million in predictable revenue. He believes the benefits of being public outweigh the costs much earlier than most founders think.
Prelude Growth Partners' framework avoids investments with product, category, or brand risk. Instead, they focus on opportunities where the primary uncertainty is execution, as they believe they can actively help mitigate that risk post-investment. This clarifies the type of risk growth capital should take on.
Effective due diligence isn't a checklist, but the collection of many small data points—revenue, team retention, customer love, CVC interest. A strong investment is a "beam" where all points align positively. Any misalignment creates doubt and likely signals a "no," adhering to the "if it's not a hell yes, it's a no" rule.
When owned by multiple private equity firms with varying exit horizons, IFS mitigates conflicting priorities by ensuring acquisition targets, even strategic ones, have a robust business plan to achieve profitability within 18 months to two years.
The mid-market offers the best risk-reward by targeting profitable, regional leaders. This segment is less competitive and process-driven, allowing for better valuations and sourcing compared to the overcrowded large-cap space or the hit-or-miss venture capital scene.
Acquiring smaller companies at a 5-6x EBITDA multiple and integrating them to reach a larger scale allows you to sell the combined entity at a 10-12x multiple. This multiple expansion is a powerful, often overlooked financial driver of M&A strategies, creating value almost overnight.
Failing to integrate acquired businesses onto a unified set of systems (ERP, CRM, accounting) will directly reduce your company's valuation at sale. Acquirers price in the future cost and risk of integration. The speaker estimates his unintegrated portfolio cost him an additional 1-2x EBITDA multiple on his exit.
Contrary to the popular search fund model of targeting $1M+ EBITDA businesses, a less risky path is to start with smaller companies ($100k-$250k earnings). This lowers complexity, reduces the potential for catastrophic failure, and provides invaluable hands-on experience for first-time acquirers.
A profitable business can be a bad investment if it creates unsustainable operational stress. This non-financial "return on headache" is a key metric for evaluating small business acquisitions, especially for hands-on owner-operators who must live with the daily consequences.
The founder's research indicates a clear financial threshold for a viable exit in the restaurant industry. Private equity firms typically aren't interested in smaller operations, setting a target of 8-figures in profit for any restaurant group planning an acquisition strategy.