The private markets industry is bifurcating. General Partners (GPs) must either scale massively with broad distribution to sell multiple products, or focus on a highly differentiated, unique strategy. The middle ground—being a mid-sized, undifferentiated firm—is becoming the most difficult position to defend.

The days of the successful private equity generalist are over. Limited Partners (LPs) now demand deep, specific expertise. A firm claiming to specialize in multiple, disparate sectors is seen as lacking true differentiation and focus—a strategy that may have worked a decade ago but fails in today's competitive market.

The private equity market is following the hedge fund industry's maturation curve. Just as hedge funds saw a consolidation around large platforms and niche specialists, a "shakeout" is coming for undifferentiated, mid-market private equity firms that lack a unique edge or sufficient scale.

Resist the common trend of chasing popular deals. Instead, invest years in deeply understanding a specific, narrow sector. This specialized expertise allows you to make smarter investment decisions, add unique value to companies, and potentially secure better deal pricing when opportunities eventually arise.

In a generalist model, learnings from one industry rarely transfer to the next. Sector specialists benefit from compounding knowledge, where every lesson from one deal is directly applied to the next. This accelerates expertise and creates a powerful, self-reinforcing playbook for value creation.

In private equity, capital is the ultimate commodity. The most effective way to differentiate is through deep, singular industry specialization. This expertise generates inbound deal flow, allows for unique value-add post-acquisition, and creates a memorable brand that resonates with sellers.

In venture capital, mid-sized generalist funds struggle to compete. They lack the scale and network of large generalists and the deep expertise of small specialists. This 'death of the middle' makes it difficult for them to win the best, most competitive deals against firms that can offer either breadth or depth.

The venture capital landscape is bifurcating. Large, multi-stage funds leverage scale and network, while small, boutique funds win with deep domain expertise. Mid-sized generalist funds lack a clear competitive edge and risk getting squeezed out by these two dominant models.

The best investment opportunities aren't always in glamorous, crowded sectors like tech or healthcare. True competitive advantage comes from identifying and mastering industries with "short lines"—areas with less capital and fewer specialists, such as Main Street franchise businesses.