When governments become top shareholders, corporate focus shifts from pleasing customers to securing political favor and appropriations. R&D budgets are reallocated to lobbying, and market competition devolves from building the best product to playing the policy game most effectively, strangling innovation.

As traditional economic-based antitrust enforcement weakens, a new gatekeeper for M&A has emerged: political cronyism. A deal's approval may now hinge less on market concentration analysis and more on a political leader’s personal sentiment towards the acquiring CEO, fundamentally changing the risk calculus for corporate strategists.

The fastest path to generating immense wealth is shifting from pure innovation to achieving regulatory capture via proximity to the president. This strategy is designed to influence policy, secure government contracts, or even acquire state-seized assets like TikTok at a steep discount, representing a new form of crony capitalism.

When facing government pressure for deals that border on state capitalism, a single CEO gains little by taking a principled stand. Resisting alone will likely lead to their company being punished while competitors comply. The pragmatic move is to play along to ensure long-term survival, despite potential negative effects for the broader economy.

The Trump administration's influence over who leads the massive Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac IPO is a classic autocratic move. While punishing enemies is well-understood, just as crucial is over-rewarding allies, which consolidates power and creates an ecosystem of cronyism.

Business leaders may see short-term benefits in aligning with an aspiring autocrat. However, this alliance is temporary. In Hungary, 15 years after Viktor Orbán took power, only 23% of the country's 50 wealthiest people remained on the list, as the regime moved to consolidate power by bankrupting or eliminating rivals.

Robert Solow posits that rising inequality isn't just an economic issue; it's a political one. Initial economic disparities lead to political inequality, which then allows the powerful to shape laws (like deregulation) in their favor, further concentrating wealth and reinforcing the initial inequality.

The system often blamed as capitalism is distorted. True capitalism requires the risk of failure as a clearing mechanism. Today's system is closer to cronyism, where government interventions like bailouts and regulatory capture protect established players from failure.

The economic system champions individual responsibility for the middle class but provides government bailouts and shields large corporations and the wealthy from failure. This cronyism prevents creative destruction, calcifies the class structure, and stifles opportunities for new entrants.