AI is moving beyond enhancing worker productivity to completing entire projects, like drug discovery or engineering designs. This shift means software will be priced like a services business, based on the value of the outcome delivered, not the number of users with access.
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Industries with historically low software adoption (like trial law or dentistry) are now viable markets. Instead of selling a tool, AI startups are selling an outcome—the automation of a specific labor role. This shifts the value proposition from a software expense to a direct labor cost replacement.
AI enables a fundamental shift in business models away from selling access (per seat) or usage (per token) towards selling results. For example, customer support AI will be priced per resolved ticket. This outcome-based model will become the standard as AI's capabilities for completing specific, measurable tasks improve.
Traditional SaaS companies are trapped by their per-seat pricing model. Their own AI agents, if successful, would reduce the number of human seats needed, cannibalizing their core revenue. AI-native startups exploit this by using value-based pricing (e.g., tasks completed), aligning their success with customer automation goals.
Satya Nadella suggests a fundamental shift in enterprise software monetization. As autonomous AI agents become prevalent, the value unit will move from the human user ("per seat") to the AI itself. "Agents are the new seats," signaling a future where companies pay for automated tasks and outcomes, not just software access for employees.
In categories like customer support, where AI can handle the vast majority of queries, charging per human agent ('per seat') no longer makes sense. The business model is shifting to be outcome-based, where customers pay for the value delivered, such as per ticket resolved or per successful interaction.
The dominant per-user-per-month SaaS business model is becoming obsolete for AI-native companies. The new standard is consumption or outcome-based pricing. Customers will pay for the specific task an AI completes or the value it generates, not for a seat license, fundamentally changing how software is sold.
The current moment is ripe for building new horizontal software giants due to three converging paradigm shifts: a move to outcome-based pricing, AI completing end-to-end tasks as the new unit of value, and a shift from structured schemas to dynamic, unstructured data models.
The fundamental business model of many SaaS companies is based on per-user pricing. AI agents pose an existential threat to this model by enabling smaller teams to achieve the same output as larger ones. As companies wonder why they should pay for 100 seats when 10 people can do the work, the entire economic foundation of the SaaS industry faces a crisis.
In the age of AI, software is shifting from a tool that assists humans to an agent that completes tasks. The pricing model should reflect this. Instead of a subscription for access (a license), charge for the value created when the AI successfully achieves a business outcome.
The push for AI-driven efficiency means many companies are past 'peak employee.' This creates a scenario analogous to a country with a declining population, where the total number of available seats is in permanent decline, making per-seat pricing a fundamentally flawed long-term business model.
