While AI expands software's capabilities, vendors may not capture the value. Companies could use AI to build solutions in-house more cheaply. Furthermore, traditional "per-seat" pricing models are undermined when AI reduces the number of employees required, potentially shrinking revenue even as the software delivers more value.

Traditional SaaS companies are trapped by their per-seat pricing model. Their own AI agents, if successful, would reduce the number of human seats needed, cannibalizing their core revenue. AI-native startups exploit this by using value-based pricing (e.g., tasks completed), aligning their success with customer automation goals.

Satya Nadella suggests a fundamental shift in enterprise software monetization. As autonomous AI agents become prevalent, the value unit will move from the human user ("per seat") to the AI itself. "Agents are the new seats," signaling a future where companies pay for automated tasks and outcomes, not just software access for employees.

AI startups should choose their pricing model based on a 2x2 matrix of autonomy (human-in-the-loop vs. fully automated) and attribution (how clearly its value can be measured). Low levels lead to seat-based pricing, while high levels of both unlock outcome-based models.

Standard SaaS pricing fails for agentic products because high usage becomes a cost center. Avoid the trap of profiting from non-use. Instead, implement a hybrid model with a fixed base and usage-based overages, or, ideally, tie pricing directly to measurable outcomes generated by the AI.

AI is making core software functionality nearly free, creating an existential crisis for traditional SaaS companies. The old model of 90%+ gross margins is disappearing. The future will be dominated by a few large AI players with lower margins, alongside a strategic shift towards monetizing high-value services.

The current moment is ripe for building new horizontal software giants due to three converging paradigm shifts: a move to outcome-based pricing, AI completing end-to-end tasks as the new unit of value, and a shift from structured schemas to dynamic, unstructured data models.

Unlike high-margin SaaS, AI agents operate on thin 30-40% gross margins. This financial reality makes traditional seat-based pricing obsolete. To build a viable business, companies must create new systems to capture more revenue and manage agent costs effectively, ensuring profitability and growth from day one.

The fundamental shift from AI isn't about replacing foundational model companies like OpenAI. Instead, AI creates a new technological substrate—productized intelligence—that will engender an entirely new breed of software companies, marking the end of the traditional SaaS playbook.