Forbion identified an arbitrage: promising biotech assets in China whose originators lacked global development expertise. Their strategy is to create new Western companies, in-license these assets, and install an experienced team to unlock their "rest of world" value, a model proven by a billion-dollar exit.

China has developed a first-rate biotech effort, enabling U.S. firms to buy or license preclinical assets more efficiently than building them domestically. This creates an arbitrage opportunity, leveraging China's R&D capabilities while relying on U.S. expertise and capital for global commercialization.

Candid's rapid acquisition by UCB for $2B showcases a profitable strategy: in-licensing promising but undervalued drug assets from China's innovation hub and quickly developing them for a Western market exit. This model leverages a significant valuation arbitrage between the two ecosystems.

In stark contrast to the US, Chinese investors are accelerating funding for early-stage cell and gene therapies, which now account for 29% of seed/Series A rounds. These firms are specifically backing technologies like NK cell therapies, which have fallen out of favor in the West, creating a divergent global innovation strategy.

Big Pharma's strategy differs by region: they are willing to acquire innovative US biotechs outright but prefer to only license assets from Chinese companies. This is because Chinese assets can be secured at significantly lower valuations without the complexities of a full M&A transaction, creating an exit dilemma for VCs in China.

Beyond innovation or speed, the key structural advantage for the U.S. biotech ecosystem is its deep, unparalleled capital market. This financial moat makes it difficult for Chinese firms to access the scale of funding needed to truly dominate the global landscape.

China's biotech infrastructure enables companies to move from discovery to initial human proof-of-concept in under two years for less than $2 million per molecule. This rapid, low-cost development, particularly in new modalities like RNAi, presents a significant competitive threat that many Western innovators underestimate.

Most US LPs have "put pencils down" on China due to geopolitical risk, creating a capital-starved market. For investors willing to do the work, this presents an opportunity with less competition and more reasonable entry valuations for a pool of incredibly hard-working founders.

The acquisition of Oro highlights the success of the "NUCO" model, where Chinese biotechs like KeyMed spin out assets into new companies. These NUCOs are backed by Western VCs specifically to achieve global development and a lucrative exit, creating a repeatable pathway for Asian science to reach Western markets.