Unlike the slow denial of SaaS by client-server companies, today's SaaS leaders (e.g., HubSpot, Notion) are rapidly integrating AI. They have an advantage due to vast proprietary data and existing distribution channels, making it harder for new AI-native startups to displace them. The old playbook of a slow incumbent may no longer apply.

The narrative that model providers will easily disrupt SaaS is flawed. Incumbents like Figma can integrate the same frontier models as challengers (e.g., Anthropic) while benefiting from their established products, distribution, and user trust, creating a level playing field on the core technology.

Contrary to the narrative of AI startups destroying incumbents, established enterprise software companies will likely absorb and 'domesticate' AI. They will integrate AI capabilities into their existing platforms, leveraging deep customer relationships and distribution advantages to maintain their market position.

As AI makes it easier to build custom internal tools, the unique value of SaaS products shifts. Their true defensibility becomes the aggregated knowledge from a broad customer base, allowing them to solve problems with market-wide experience that a single company’s internal tool can’t replicate.

AI doesn't kill all software; it bifurcates the market. Companies with strong moats like distribution, proprietary data, and enterprise lock-in will thrive by integrating AI. However, companies whose only advantage was their software code will be wiped out as AI makes the code itself a commodity. The moat is no longer the software.

Even as AI makes building software easier, pricing power is retained by companies with strong brands and distribution channels. Established players like Salesforce haven't lowered prices despite immense competition, proving that market presence and trust are more durable moats than easily replicated technology.

The market fears that AI will instantly replace enterprise SaaS platforms are overblown. Companies like Salesforce and Adobe are deeply embedded in corporate workflows with massive switching costs. They are now trading at low multiples despite strong growth, presenting a significant investment opportunity.

As AI makes it possible to replicate any SaaS application's features within days, the defensibility of a product no longer lies in its engineering complexity. The real, enduring moat is the network effect, which AI cannot trivially reproduce.

With AI lowering the barrier to building software, getting user attention is harder than ever. This shifts the competitive advantage to distribution. Incumbents can spray a 'good enough' AI model across billions of users, establishing a default that's difficult for a superior startup product to displace.