Children are more rational Bayesians than scientists because they lack strong pre-existing beliefs (priors). This makes them more open to updating their views based on new, even unusual, evidence. Scientists' extensive experience makes them rationally stubborn, requiring more evidence to change their minds.

Related Insights

Intelligence is often used as a tool to generate more sophisticated arguments for what one already believes. A higher IQ correlates with the ability to find reasons supporting your stance, not with an enhanced ability to genuinely consider opposing viewpoints.

The standard math curriculum is misaligned with real-world needs. Core rationality concepts, like Bayesian reasoning and distinguishing correlation from causation, are far more valuable for everyday decisions and citizenship than more abstract topics like trigonometry.

True scientific progress comes from being proven wrong. When an experiment falsifies a prediction, it definitively rules out a potential model of reality, thereby advancing knowledge. This mindset encourages researchers to embrace incorrect hypotheses as learning opportunities rather than failures, getting them closer to understanding the world.

Even Donald Hoffman, proponent of the consciousness-first model, admits his emotions and intuition resist his theory. He relies solely on the logical force of mathematics to advance, demonstrating that groundbreaking ideas often feel profoundly wrong before they can be proven.

A child's seemingly chaotic learning process is analogous to the 'simulated annealing' algorithm from computer science. They perform a 'high-temperature search,' randomly exploring a wide range of possibilities. This contrasts with adults' more methodical 'low-temperature search,' which involves making small, incremental changes to existing beliefs.

The more people learn about a subject, the more they realize how much they don't know. This contradicts the idea that expertise leads to arrogance. Novices, who are unaware of a field's complexity, are often the most overconfident.

The strength of scientific progress comes from 'individual humility'—the constant process of questioning assumptions and actively searching for errors. This embrace of being wrong, or doubting one's own work, is not a weakness but a superpower that leads to breakthroughs.

It's often assumed adults become less curious to be more efficient, but the real cause is social risk. We stop asking basic questions because we fear looking silly or ignorant. Overcoming this embarrassment is key to unlocking the childlike curiosity needed for innovation in a fast-changing world.

To counteract the brain's tendency to preserve existing conclusions, Charles Darwin deliberately considered evidence that contradicted his hypotheses. He was most rigorous when he felt most confident in an idea—a powerful, counterintuitive method for maintaining objectivity and avoiding confirmation bias.

If a highly successful person repeatedly makes decisions that seem crazy but consistently work, don't dismiss them. Instead, assume their model of reality is superior to yours in a key way. Your goal should be to infer what knowledge they possess that you don't.