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Beyond funding and regulatory hurdles, Europe's restrictive drug pricing environment is a fundamental threat. It discourages pharmaceutical companies, including Europe's own, from investing in the region as they prioritize the more profitable US market. This ultimately undermines the entire local R&D ecosystem.

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Europe, despite excellent science, lost its co-equal status in drug development to the U.S. due to restrictive pricing and lack of growth capital. These same challenges are now emerging in the U.S., threatening its innovation leadership as China accelerates its efforts.

The U.S. market's high prices create the large profit pool necessary to fund risky drug development. If the U.S. adopted price negotiation like other countries, the global incentive for pharmaceutical innovation would shrink, resulting in fewer new drugs being developed worldwide.

There's a growing recognition that European governments can no longer just be regulators; they must actively compete for biotech investment and clinical trials. This requires treating their country's R&D environment as a product with an "attractive offering" to win against global competitors.

While MFN pricing is seen as a major threat, it could have an unexpected positive effect. It would force companies launching new drugs to establish a GDP-adjusted global price from the start, ending the current system where the U.S. effectively subsidizes lower prices elsewhere.

Major pharmaceutical companies are now willing to deploy the "nuclear option" of pulling planned R&D investments to express displeasure with national drug pricing policies. This tactic, seen in the UK, represents a direct and aggressive strategy to pressure governments into accepting higher prices for innovative medicines.

To fix the R&D funding imbalance, the CEO proposes a 'one fair price' system. A drug would have one US price with no rebates, and a price in other developed nations would be indexed to their GDP per capita.

The gap between U.S. and international drug prices is a structural feature of the pharma economy. High profits from the U.S. market fund expensive R&D that ultimately benefits the rest of the world, which pays far less for the same innovations. This reframes the debate around high American healthcare costs.

The Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy forces a difficult choice: launch early in Europe and risk a lower US reference price, or delay the European launch to protect US revenue, slowing patient access. This dilemma upends traditional global launch strategies, creating commercial, ethical, and operational problems for pharma companies.

Policies that cap prices on oral medications (the "pill penalty") warp investment incentives. Venture capitalists may stop funding companies developing pills, meaning promising academic research for these therapies might never be commercialized for patients.

MFN's pressure on global pricing will change how innovation is valued. Truly disruptive drugs may command higher prices ex-US, while incremental "me-too" drugs in crowded classes will not. This will force pharma companies to shift R&D investment away from iterative improvements and toward therapies with radical treatment-disrupting potential.

Unfavorable Drug Pricing Is the Biggest Overhang Threatening Europe's Biotech Ecosystem | RiffOn