The AI arms race will shift from building ever-larger general models to creating smaller, highly specialized models for domains like medicine and law. General AIs will evolve to act as "general contractors," routing user queries to the appropriate specialist model for deeper expertise.

Related Insights

The path to a general-purpose AI model is not to tackle the entire problem at once. A more effective strategy is to start with a highly constrained domain, like generating only Minecraft videos. Once the model works reliably in that narrow distribution, incrementally expand the training data and complexity, using each step as a foundation for the next.

To move beyond general knowledge, AI firms are creating a new role: the "AI Trainer." These are not contractors but full-time employees, typically PhDs with deep domain expertise and a computer science interest, tasked with systematically improving model competence in specific fields like physics or mathematics.

For specialized, high-stakes tasks like insurance underwriting, enterprises will favor smaller, on-prem models fine-tuned on proprietary data. These models can be faster, more accurate, and more secure than general-purpose frontier models, creating a lasting market for custom AI solutions.

True Agentic AI isn't a single, all-powerful bot. It's an orchestrated system of multiple, specialized agents, each performing a single task (e.g., qualifying, booking, analyzing). This 'division of labor,' mirroring software engineering principles, creates a more robust, scalable, and manageable automation pipeline.

Industry leaders from LinkedIn and Salesforce predict that AI will automate narrow, specialized tasks, fundamentally reshaping careers. The future workforce will favor 'professional generalists' who can move fluidly between projects and roles, replacing rigid departmental structures with dynamic 'work charts.'

Dominant models like ChatGPT can be beaten by specialized "pro tools." An app for "deepest research" that queries multiple AIs and highlights their disagreements creates a superior, dedicated experience for a high-value task, just as ChatGPT's chat interface outmaneuvered Google search.

Building a single, all-purpose AI is like hiring one person for every company role. To maximize accuracy and creativity, build multiple custom GPTs, each trained for a specific function like copywriting or operations, and have them collaborate.

The AI industry is not a winner-take-all market. Instead, it's a dynamic "leapfrogging" race where competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic constantly surpass each other with new models. This prevents a single monopoly and encourages specialization, with different models excelling in areas like coding or current events.

AI reverses the long-standing trend of professional hyper-specialization. By providing instant access to specialist knowledge (e.g., coding in an unfamiliar language), AI tools empower individuals to operate as effective generalists. This allows small, agile teams to achieve more without hiring a dedicated expert for every function.

Initially, even OpenAI believed a single, ultimate 'model to rule them all' would emerge. This thinking has completely changed to favor a proliferation of specialized models, creating a healthier, less winner-take-all ecosystem where different models serve different needs.