Prediction markets are not just for betting. They are becoming a valuable source of predictive data for enterprises, as shown by new partnerships with media giants like CNN and CNBC. This dual-purpose model, functioning as both a consumer product and a B2B data service, creates two distinct revenue streams.

New platforms frame betting on future events as sophisticated 'trading,' akin to stock markets. This rebranding as 'prediction markets' helps them bypass traditional gambling regulations and attract users who might otherwise shun betting, positioning it as an intellectual or financial activity rather than a game of chance.

Speculation is often maligned as mere gambling, but it is a critical component for price discovery, liquidity, and risk transfer in any healthy financial market. Without speculators, markets would be inefficient. Prediction markets are an explicit tool to harness this power for accurate forecasting.

The primary value for the vast majority of prediction market users isn't trading but consuming the market's data as a form of real-time, aggregated news. This reframes the user base as a media audience of 'lurkers' rather than a community of active traders.

While today's focus is on text-based LLMs, the true, defensible AI battleground will be in complex modalities like video. Generating video requires multiple interacting models and unique architectures, creating far greater potential for differentiation and a wider competitive moat than text-based interfaces, which will become commoditized.

Prediction markets are accelerating their normalization by integrating directly into established ecosystems. Partnerships with Google, Robinhood, and the NYSE's owner embed gambling-like activities into everyday financial and informational tools, lowering barriers to entry and lending them legitimacy.

The next frontier for conversational AI is not just better text, but "Generative UI"—the ability to respond with interactive components. Instead of describing the weather, an AI can present a weather widget, merging the flexibility of chat with the richness of a graphical interface.

Similar to how mobile gave rise to the App Store, AI platforms like OpenAI and Perplexity will create their own ecosystems for discovering and using services. The next wave of winning startups will be those built to distribute through these new agent-based channels, while incumbents may be slow to adapt.

Multicoin's central thesis is that crypto's ultimate purpose is creating "Internet Capital Markets"—the ability to trade any asset, from anywhere, 24/7, via any software. This broad vision of permissionless, programmable finance is seen as the most significant long-term impact of blockchain, destined to supersede more niche consumer applications or "Web3" concepts.