Similar to how mobile gave rise to the App Store, AI platforms like OpenAI and Perplexity will create their own ecosystems for discovering and using services. The next wave of winning startups will be those built to distribute through these new agent-based channels, while incumbents may be slow to adapt.
OpenAI embraces the 'platform paradox' by selling API access to startups that compete directly with its own apps like ChatGPT. The strategy is to foster a broad ecosystem, believing that enabling competitors is necessary to avoid losing the platform race entirely.
A new wave of startups, like ex-Twitter CEO's Parallel, is attracting significant investment to build web infrastructure specifically for AI agents. Instead of ranking links for humans, these systems deliver optimized data directly to AI models, signaling a fundamental shift in how the internet will be structured and consumed.
Incumbent companies are slowed by the need to retrofit AI into existing processes and tribal knowledge. AI-native startups, however, can build their entire operational model around agent-based, prompt-driven workflows from day one, creating a structural advantage that is difficult for larger companies to copy.
The idea of a truly "open web" was a brief historical moment. Powerful, proprietary "organizing layers" like search engines and app stores inevitably emerge to centralize ecosystems and capture value. Today's AI chatbots are simply the newest form of these organizing layers.
Agentic AI will evolve into a 'multi-agent ecosystem.' This means AI agents from different companies—like an airline and a hotel—will interact directly with each other to autonomously solve a customer's complex problem, freeing humans from multi-party coordination tasks.
Traditional software required deep vertical focus because building unique UIs for each use case was complex. AI agents solve this. Since the interface is primarily a prompt box, a company can serve a broad horizontal market from the beginning without the massive overhead of building distinct, vertical-specific product experiences.
The evolution of search won't stop with LLMs. The next stage involves autonomous AI agents that complete tasks like booking travel on a user's behalf. Marketers must shift their focus from answering human queries to ensuring their products and services are discoverable and selectable by these agents.
Consumer innovation arrives in predictable waves after major technological shifts. The browser created Amazon and eBay; mobile created Uber and Instagram. The current AI platform shift is creating the same conditions for a new, massive wave of consumer technology companies.
Despite the hype, AI's impact on daily life remains minimal because most consumer apps haven't changed. The true societal shift will occur when new, AI-native applications are built from the ground up, much like the iPhone enabled a new class of apps, rather than just bolting AI features onto old frameworks.
The future of AI is not just humans talking to AI, but a world where personal agents communicate directly with business agents (e.g., your agent negotiating a loan with a bank's agent). This will necessitate new communication protocols and guardrails, creating a societal transformation comparable to the early internet.