Investors obsess over moats, but in a rapidly changing AI landscape, a startup's ability to quickly build and ship products that unlock latent demand is a more reliable predictor of success than any theoretical defensibility.
With AI commoditizing technology, the sustainable advantage for startups is the speed and discipline of their experimentation. Founders who leverage AI to operate 10x faster will outcompete those with static tech advantages, as execution velocity is far harder to replicate than a feature.
During a major technology shift like AI, the most valuable initial opportunities are often the simplest. Founders should resist solving complex problems immediately and instead focus on the "low-hanging fruit." Defensibility can be built later, after capitalizing on the obvious, easy wins.
While not in formal business frameworks, speed of execution is the most critical initial moat for an AI startup. Large incumbents are slowed by process and bureaucracy. Startups like Cursor leverage this by shipping features on daily cycles, a pace incumbents cannot match.
With AI commoditizing the tech stack, traditional technical moats are disappearing. The only sustainable differentiator at the application layer is having a unique insight into a problem and assembling a team that can out-iterate everyone else. Your long-term defensibility becomes customer love built through relentless execution.
In the fast-evolving AI space, traditional moats are less relevant. The new defensibility comes from momentum—a combination of rapid product shipment velocity and effective distribution. Teams that can build and distribute faster than competitors will win, as the underlying technology layer is constantly shifting.
With traditional moats gone, the only way to stay ahead is to move faster. Defensibility now comes from the speed at which a team can ship new value and deeply understand its customers, ensuring the product is always one step ahead of a crowded field.
In the SaaS era, a 2-year head start created a defensible product moat. In the AI era, new entrants can leverage the latest foundation models to instantly create a product on par with, or better than, an incumbent's, erasing any first-mover advantage.
Mike Cannon-Brookes argues that the speed at which today's AI companies are being built means they inherently lack high switching costs. True defensibility takes time to establish, a challenge for startups in the current fast-paced, creatively fertile environment.
While moats like network effects and brand develop over time, the only sustainable advantage an early-stage startup has is its iteration speed. The ability to quickly cycle through ideas, build MVPs, and gather feedback is the fundamental driver of success before achieving scale.
In the AI era, technology moats are shrinking as tools become commoditized. Consequently, early-stage investors increasingly prioritize the founding team itself, specifically their execution velocity and ability to leverage AI, over any specific technical advantage.