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Founders should anticipate that truly new ideas are first dismissed as "crazy," then accepted as "novel," and finally deemed "obvious." Understanding this progression helps entrepreneurs endure the initial skepticism and see it as a sign they are on the right track.

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When pursuing breakthrough ideas ("10x thinking"), the process is inherently uncomfortable. It's crucial to distinguish this discomfort, which signals you're pushing boundaries, from the feeling of being wrong. Embracing this discomfort is key to innovation in ambiguous, early-stage product development.

When introducing a disruptive model, potential partners are hesitant to be the first adopter due to perceived risk. The strategy is to start with small, persistent efforts, normalizing the behavior until the advantages become undeniable. Innovation requires a patient strategy to overcome initial industry inertia.

As a founder, you'll likely experience a predictable social journey. First, people dismiss your ambition. Then, they diminish your early efforts. Once you gain traction, they become fans asking for perks. Finally, they claim they supported you all along. Understanding this pattern helps you ignore the need for external validation.

We overestimate technology's short-term impact (the hype peak) and then overcorrect into skepticism (the trough of disillusionment). The real, transformative changes happen slowly and quietly after most people have stopped paying attention.

True entrepreneurial opportunity exists where consensus is wrong. By the time a trend like AI or cloud computing is mainstream, it's too late to build a foundational company. Entrepreneurs must find ideas that are currently not well-liked or appreciated and see the gap between the popular view and the idea's actual potential.

The idea of a single "eureka" moment is misleading. True insight comes from deep immersion in a problem space over time. Eventually, you gain so much context that a better way of operating seems obvious, not like a sudden stroke of genius.

Negative feedback that dismisses your idea as 'nuts' is incredibly valuable. This extreme reaction forces you to rigorously test your core assumptions, revealing whether you are fundamentally wrong and saving time, or 'deadly right' about a non-obvious market shift.

Effective creation is not a linear process but a continuous cycle. Start with chaotic ideas, apply strategic constraints to create a tangible asset, and then use the feedback and new questions from your audience—the 'new chaos'—to fuel the next iteration or creation.

When an idea is met with a "wall of skepticism" from investors, it can be a positive sign of a good, non-obvious market. If every VC immediately validates your idea, it's likely too obvious and crowded. Proving early skeptics wrong with traction is a powerful path to building a defensible business.

Pursuing a genuinely non-obvious idea feels risky, not just uncertain. This feeling of danger—the fear of wasting years on a potential failure—is often a signal that you're working on something truly contrarian and valuable, as it deters others.

Disruptive Innovations Follow A Predictable "Crazy, Novel, Obvious" Perception Cycle | RiffOn