When an idea is met with a "wall of skepticism" from investors, it can be a positive sign of a good, non-obvious market. If every VC immediately validates your idea, it's likely too obvious and crowded. Proving early skeptics wrong with traction is a powerful path to building a defensible business.
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The goal of early validation is not to confirm your genius, but to risk being proven wrong before committing resources. Negative feedback is a valuable outcome that prevents building the wrong product. It often reveals that the real opportunity is "a degree to the left" of the original idea.
An investor's best career P&L winners are not immediate yeses. They often involve an initial pass by either the investor or the company. This shows that timing and building relationships over multiple rounds can be more crucial than a single early-stage decision, as a 'missed round' isn't a 'missed company'.
Investors often reject ideas in markets where previous companies failed, a bias they call "scar tissue." This creates an opportunity for founders who can identify a key change—like new AI technology or shifting consumer behavior—that makes a previously impossible idea now viable.
Founders with deep market fit must trust their unique intuition over persuasive, but generic, VC advice. Following the standard playbook leads to cookie-cutter companies, while leaning into the 'weird' things that make your business different is what creates a unique, defensible moat.
Negative feedback that dismisses your idea as 'nuts' is incredibly valuable. This extreme reaction forces you to rigorously test your core assumptions, revealing whether you are fundamentally wrong and saving time, or 'deadly right' about a non-obvious market shift.
Palo Alto Networks pursued cloud cybersecurity when experts claimed no one would trust it. Founder Nir Zook saw this skepticism not as a warning, but as a sign of a wide-open market with a significant competitive moat if they could prove the doubters wrong.
During validation calls for Merge, prospective customers expressed extreme annoyance with the status quo but were skeptical the founders could technically solve it. This combination was the ultimate signal: the pain was immense, and a successful solution would be highly defensible and valuable.
Pursuing a genuinely non-obvious idea feels risky, not just uncertain. This feeling of danger—the fear of wasting years on a potential failure—is often a signal that you're working on something truly contrarian and valuable, as it deters others.
To truly validate their idea, Moonshot AI's founders deliberately sought negative feedback. This approach of "trying to get the no's" ensures honest market signals, helping them avoid the trap of false positive validation from contacts who are just being polite.
