The risk of saving, investing, and decumulation is shifting from institutions to individuals as pensions disappear. Buchwald warns that the country has not fully processed this change, and the current 401k system isn't designed to make the necessary long-term decisions easy for individuals who now bear all the risk.
With increasing longevity, retirement is not a single period but a multi-stage journey. Financial plans must distinguish between the early, active "golden years" focused on travel and hobbies, and later years dominated by higher, often unpredictable medical expenses. This requires a more dynamic approach to saving and investing.
The rallying cry to give retail investors access to elite opportunities is not new; this same narrative fueled mass participation in the leveraged 1920s stock market bubble. Today, similar rhetoric surrounds cryptocurrency and private equity in 401(k)s, serving as a potential historical warning sign.
The conventional wisdom to always max out a 401(k) is questionable. After fees, the net benefit over a taxable brokerage account can be as low as 40 basis points per year. For high earners or those aiming for early retirement, this small advantage may not justify locking up capital until age 59.5, sacrificing valuable liquidity and flexibility.
Companies now auto-enroll employees in 401(k)s at a low 3% savings rate. While seemingly helpful, this is a trap. The rate is insufficient for retirement and gives employees a false sense of security, preventing them from saving the truly necessary 12-14%.
The primary decision-makers for mass-market 401(k) plans are often HR or finance teams, not investors. To shield their companies from employee lawsuits, they have historically prioritized funds with the lowest fees, creating a massive structural barrier for higher-fee alternative investments to gain traction.
The conversation around adding alternatives to 401(k) plans is not about offering standalone private equity funds. The practical implementation is embedding this exposure within target-date funds, often as collective investment trusts, which mitigates liquidity risk and simplifies the investment decision for participants.
While DC plans receive huge inflows, a large portion of assets leaks out annually into rollover IRAs as employees change jobs. This dynamic means the net growth of the captive 401(k) asset pool is less explosive than top-line numbers suggest, tempering the "flood of capital" narrative for private markets.
A hidden trap in job-hopping is that your new company's 401(k) often resets your contribution rate to a low default (e.g., 3%), even if you were previously saving a higher percentage. According to Vanguard, this simple oversight can cost a retiree $300,000.
The standard 401(k) is filled with daily-liquid assets, despite having a time horizon of decades. This structural mismatch unnecessarily limits potential returns. This is the core argument for allowing more access to less-liquid private market investments within retirement plans.
Ashby Monk argues the US retirement system fails by offloading complex financial decisions onto individuals without adequate guidance, akin to expecting a patient to become their own doctor using a flawed online tool.