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When considering debt against a signed contract, operate under the assumption that the contract will not come through. This prevents piling financial risk on top of an already risky situation. Only proceed if your business can sustain the debt repayment without that expected revenue, as a signed contract is not guaranteed cash.

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To protect against the high risk of small contractor failure, ReSeed has a non-negotiable policy: operators must obtain lien releases for every construction draw. Despite pushback from operators dealing with smaller GCs, this strict financial control prevents situations where a contractor's failure to pay subs puts the entire asset at risk.

Instead of walking away immediately upon finding inaccuracies, quantify the risk. Rebuild your business case assuming the worst probable scenario based on the discovered misrepresentations. If the deal remains net positive even with these new, pessimistic assumptions, it may still be a viable investment.

To weather economic downturns, a business needs a substantial cash safety net. Aim to hold enough cash to cover at least six, and ideally twelve, months of all operating expenses with zero revenue. This practice, championed by Bill Gates at Microsoft, ensures survival during unexpected crises.

When defending a large, upfront commitment, supplement your pricing logic with reminders of the buyer's protections within the contract. Pointing to clauses like 'termination for cause' or 'warranty provisions' directly addresses their underlying fear of risk ('what if it doesn't work?'). This combination of financial logic and legal safety nets de-risks the decision for them.

A major hidden cost in carve-outs is vendor contract renegotiation, as change-of-control clauses can trigger price hikes. State Street mitigates this by stating in its LOI that the valuation assumes all third-party contracts remain at or near historical costs. This forces the issue early and protects the buyer's valuation model.

For asset-heavy hard tech companies, debt is most effective not as a bridge to the next equity round, but to finance long-lived assets (e.g., machinery) that are directly tied to contracted revenue. This approach de-risks the loan and supports scalable growth without excessive equity dilution, a sharp contrast to SaaS venture debt norms.

A personal guarantee exposes you to unlimited liability and is a common path to financial ruin, even for sophisticated individuals. As demonstrated by Larry Ellison's refusal in the Warner Bros. Discovery bid, avoiding this commitment is a critical principle for preserving wealth, regardless of the deal's perceived security.

When considering debt, the most critical due diligence is not on deal terms but on the lender's character. Investigate how they have treated portfolio companies during challenging times. Partnering with a lender who will "blow you up" at the first sign of trouble is a catastrophic risk.

Third-party contracts with change-of-control clauses are a major carve-out risk, as vendors may hike prices post-acquisition. To mitigate this, explicitly state in the Letter of Intent (LOI) that your valuation is based on the assumption that key contracts will renew at or near historical costs. This provides critical leverage for future negotiations or price adjustments.

CoreWeave mitigates the risk of its massive debt load by securing long-term contracts from investment-grade customers like Microsoft *before* building new infrastructure. These contracts serve as collateral, ensuring that each project's financing is backed by guaranteed revenue streams, making their growth model far less speculative.

Assume Signed Contracts Will Fail Before Taking Debt Against Them | RiffOn