To weather economic downturns, a business needs a substantial cash safety net. Aim to hold enough cash to cover at least six, and ideally twelve, months of all operating expenses with zero revenue. This practice, championed by Bill Gates at Microsoft, ensures survival during unexpected crises.
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A core tenet of Gates's management philosophy was extreme financial conservatism. He insisted on keeping enough cash in the bank to cover all expenses for a full year, even if revenue dropped to zero. This survival-focused mindset provided a massive strategic advantage and independence from outside capital.
Founders can become fixated on achieving a good burn multiple, which is a theoretical measure of fundability. However, they sometimes forget the practical reality: a great burn multiple is useless if the company runs out of cash. Cash in the bank is a material construct, not a theoretical one.
To conserve cash, especially in a downturn, founders can pay key employees 10-30% below market rate in salary. The key is to compensate for this deficit by offering double or triple the industry standard in equity. This strategy attracts top talent aligned with long-term success while keeping the company's cash burn rate low.
To avoid emotional spending that kills runway, analyze every major decision through three financial scenarios. A 'bear' case (e.g., revenue drops 10%), 'base' case (plan holds), and 'bull' case (revenue grows 10%). This sobering framework forces you to quantify risk and compare alternatives objectively before committing capital.
Cash is not a long-term wealth-building tool due to inflation. Its purpose is strategic and short-term. You should only accumulate cash for an emergency fund, a specific large purchase like a house down payment, or to deploy into investments during a market downturn.
Founder failure is often attributed to running out of money, but the real issue is a lack of financial awareness. They don't track cash flow closely enough to see the impending crisis. Financial discipline is as critical as product, team, and market, a lesson learned from WeWork's high-profile collapse despite raising billions.
Waiting for monthly financial reports creates a crippling delay in decision-making. Use an AI tool to connect financial data and send a daily email summary of your cash position. This allows you to "see the flow of cash daily" so you can "fix it weekly."
Relying on monthly financial reviews is too slow. Instead, treat finances like a body's vitals: glance at cash daily (pulse), hold a 15-minute money stand-up weekly (vitals), and perform a full review monthly (physical). This cadence creates a constant, real-time understanding of your startup's health.
A profitable P&L can mask imminent death. A big contract booked as revenue makes you feel rich on paper, while you're actually one payroll cycle from insolvency. The only true survival metric is a rolling 13-week cash flow document, updated weekly, showing actual cash in and cash out.
When SpeedSize had less than two months of runway, the co-founders immediately stopped their own salaries. This created a personal sense of urgency, forcing them to solve the cash problem before it impacted the entire team, whose salaries were still months from being at risk.
