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A massive influx of capital into Chinese biotech, followed by a public market slowdown, left many innovative companies "trapped" without funding. This created a unique opportunity for Western pharma and VCs to license high-quality assets, driving pharma's China deal volume from single digits to nearly 50%.

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A notable trend is the licensing of advanced clinical assets from Chinese biotechs to major global pharmaceutical companies for ex-China rights. Deals like Roche licensing Medilink's Phase 3 ADC and AbbVie licensing Reamgen's Phase 2 bispecific antibody signal China's evolution from a market to a source of high-value, late-stage innovation.

Western pharmaceutical companies are no longer seeking cheap 'me-too' assets in China. Instead, they are paying premium prices for genuinely innovative drugs, as evidenced by a 10x increase in deal size over five years and a surge in patent filings from the region.

China has developed a first-rate biotech effort, enabling U.S. firms to buy or license preclinical assets more efficiently than building them domestically. This creates an arbitrage opportunity, leveraging China's R&D capabilities while relying on U.S. expertise and capital for global commercialization.

Candid's rapid acquisition by UCB for $2B showcases a profitable strategy: in-licensing promising but undervalued drug assets from China's innovation hub and quickly developing them for a Western market exit. This model leverages a significant valuation arbitrage between the two ecosystems.

Big Pharma's strategy differs by region: they are willing to acquire innovative US biotechs outright but prefer to only license assets from Chinese companies. This is because Chinese assets can be secured at significantly lower valuations without the complexities of a full M&A transaction, creating an exit dilemma for VCs in China.

Driven by significant government investment, China is rapidly becoming a leader in biotech R&D, licensing, and outsourcing. This shift is a top-of-mind concern for US biotech and pharma executives, with China now involved in a majority of top R&D licensing deals.

A biotech boom in China, fueled by returning scientists and VC funding, hit a wall when public market access was restricted. This liquidity crunch left many high-quality companies with promising assets undervalued and in need of capital, creating a prime investment window for savvy foreign investors to acquire technology.

The acquisition of Oro highlights the success of the "NUCO" model, where Chinese biotechs like KeyMed spin out assets into new companies. These NUCOs are backed by Western VCs specifically to achieve global development and a lucrative exit, creating a repeatable pathway for Asian science to reach Western markets.

In a major strategic shift, large pharmaceutical companies are increasingly sourcing their M&A pipeline from China. Chinese assets now account for 30-40% of Big Pharma's early-stage acquisitions, up from single digits just a few years ago, primarily because they are significantly cheaper than US or European equivalents.

Contrary to common belief, a BioCentury analysis revealed that two-thirds of out-licensing deals from Asian innovators were with Western biotechs, not large multinational pharmaceutical corporations. This indicates a significant trend of smaller Western companies actively sourcing innovation from Asia.

China's Biotech Boom-Bust Cycle Created a Buyer's Market for High-Quality, Underfunded Assets | RiffOn