Success for Chinese AI companies like Z.AI depends on a recursive validation loop. Gaining traction and positive mentions from US tech leaders and media is crucial not just for global recognition, but for building credibility and winning enterprise customers within China itself, who closely monitor Western sentiment.

Stripe data shows the median top AI company operates in 55 countries by its first year, double the rate of SaaS companies from three years prior. This borderless nature from day one requires financial infrastructure that can immediately support global payment methods and compliance.

China's harsh, deflationary economic environment and intense domestic competition, while causing many companies to fail, effectively hones a select few into highly resilient and efficient champions. These survivors are now prepared for successful global expansion.

Meta is likely acquiring Manus to pair its AI agent technology with its open-source models for on-premise enterprise deployments. This signals a strategic expansion into enterprise tooling, moving beyond its core social media business and leveraging its existing open-source leadership.

The CEO of Korean startup Apollon, who moved his family to Cambridge, argues that sending a representative is insufficient for US expansion. He advises that the CEO must be physically present "on the ground" to build trust, navigate the ecosystem, and demonstrate commitment—a crucial lesson for any international startup targeting the US.

Z.AI and other Chinese labs recognize Western enterprises won't use their APIs due to trust and data concerns. By open-sourcing models, they bypass this barrier to gain developer adoption, global mindshare, and brand credibility, viewing it as a pragmatic go-to-market tactic rather than an ideological stance.

The dot-com era saw ~2,000 companies go public, but only a dozen survived meaningfully. The current AI wave will likely follow a similar pattern, with most companies failing or being acquired despite the hype. Founders should prepare for this reality by considering their exit strategy early.

A powerful startup strategy is to screenshot a successful app and use AI to rapidly generate a clone tailored to a new market. This "business arbitrage" allows founders to quickly test proven models in new geographies or vertical niches with minimal upfront development.

Despite Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's claim of being "100% out of China," the company is experiencing massive, unexplained business growth in neighboring Singapore and Malaysia. This suggests these countries may be acting as intermediary hubs to quietly funnel chips into the Chinese market, bypassing direct restrictions.