The imbalance between rising drug development costs and financially strained public health systems is unsustainable. Novo Nordisk's CEO believes this will inevitably lead to a global trend of increased patient cost-sharing through cash channels and high co-pays, moving beyond traditional insurance models.
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The U.S. market's high prices create the large profit pool necessary to fund risky drug development. If the U.S. adopted price negotiation like other countries, the global incentive for pharmaceutical innovation would shrink, resulting in fewer new drugs being developed worldwide.
The GLP-1 drug revolution is moving beyond weekly injections for wealthy markets. Upcoming pill-form versions will eliminate the need for refrigerated supply chains, opening up distribution in developing countries. Combined with expiring patents, this focus on form factor and cost will enable mass global adoption.
While MFN pricing is seen as a major threat, it could have an unexpected positive effect. It would force companies launching new drugs to establish a GDP-adjusted global price from the start, ending the current system where the U.S. effectively subsidizes lower prices elsewhere.
Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk's DTC programs for weight loss drugs give employers an alternative to point employees towards, providing cover to drop expensive insurance coverage and potentially reducing access for patients who rely on it.
Major pharmaceutical companies are now willing to deploy the "nuclear option" of pulling planned R&D investments to express displeasure with national drug pricing policies. This tactic, seen in the UK, represents a direct and aggressive strategy to pressure governments into accepting higher prices for innovative medicines.
A $2,000 preventative injection like a PCSK9 inhibitor sounds expensive. However, its cost is likely justified when calculated against the massive societal and individual expense of future medical bills, plus the economic value of additional healthy, productive years.
To fix the R&D funding imbalance, the CEO proposes a 'one fair price' system. A drug would have one US price with no rebates, and a price in other developed nations would be indexed to their GDP per capita.
Novo priced the maintenance dose of its oral Wegovy pill far lower than anticipated. This aggressive strategy, costing less than the average U.S. monthly grocery bill (~$400), is a direct attempt to regain momentum from rival Eli Lilly and expand the self-pay market before more oral competitors launch.
The launch of Novo Nordisk's oral GLP-1 pill via platforms like Ro marks a pivotal shift in pharma distribution. It's the first time a drug of this scale has launched nationwide with a direct-to-consumer model, enabling patients to go from seeing an ad to receiving a prescription in under 48 hours.
As pharma companies build direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels for high-demand drugs, large employers see an alternative. This could motivate them to drop insurance coverage, shifting costs to individuals and paradoxically reducing overall access despite the new DTC option.