Internal projections reveal ads are a core long-term strategy, not an experiment. OpenAI expects "free user monetization" to generate $110 billion through 2030, with average revenue per user (ARPU) growing from $2 to $15. Gross margins are targeted at 80-85%, mirroring Meta's highly profitable ad business.

Meta's Reels platform has achieved a staggering $50 billion run rate, placing it remarkably close to the entire U.S. television advertising market's projected $60 billion for 2024. This demonstrates the massive scale shift from traditional to social media advertising.

Even while losing significant money, a company's massive user base can be its core asset. This leverage allows it to influence the market cap of its suppliers simply by choosing them, demonstrating that user aggregation is more powerful than immediate profitability in today's market.

Conversational ads offer an unprecedented one-on-one channel for brands to interact with customers at scale. The resulting data—customer questions, complaints, and feedback—is a goldmine for product development and other business functions, potentially exceeding the value of immediate customer acquisition.

Meta benefits from a "do nothing, win" position in consumer-facing AI. The company can avoid costly R&D for new social features, knowing that any successful AI-driven application developed by a competitor can be quickly replicated and scaled across its massive user base, similar to how it handled Stories.

Meta is launching a native AI toolkit allowing businesses to create personalized, 24/7 customer support and sales agents within WhatsApp, Messenger, and Facebook/Instagram ads. This tool, offered free for ads, aims to streamline the sales process and reduce dependency on third-party integration tools for customer engagement.

The next human-computer interface will be AI-driven, likely through smart glasses. Meta is the only company with the full vertical stack to dominate this shift: cutting-edge hardware (glasses), advanced models, massive capital, and world-class recommendation engines to deliver content, potentially leapfrogging Apple and Google.

Meta's core moat is its ability to solve the classic advertiser's dilemma: knowing which half of their ad spend works. By providing granular data on impressions, conversions, and ROI, it created what Pat Dorsey called the perfect advertising platform.

Stablecoins will likely enter the US market not through domestic retail payments, but via international network effects, similar to WhatsApp. Initial US users will be those interacting with the global economy, and adoption will spread inward as these cross-border connections become more common.