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The firm intentionally avoids complex valuation methods like DCF or IRR, believing they can alienate non-financial, "industrialist" founders. Instead, they use a straightforward multiple of sustainable EBITDA (4-8x), which simplifies negotiations and builds trust by speaking the same financial language as the seller.
In markets like Australia where tech M&A is less mature, a HoldCo's primary job during sourcing is often educational. They must patiently reset founder valuation expectations, moving them away from inflated media headlines and towards fundamentals like profitability and comps.
Successful founders prioritize cash upfront over potentially larger payouts from complex earnouts. Earnouts often underperform because founders lose control of the business's future performance, leading to dissatisfaction despite a higher on-paper valuation.
Instead of competing on price, Lagercrantz offers founders assurance that their company's brand, team, and culture will be preserved. This non-financial value proposition of protecting a life's work is often more compelling to sellers of family-owned businesses than a slightly higher valuation from a PE firm that might integrate or dismantle the business.
In early fundraising rounds, the "signal" from having a top-tier investor on the cap table is more valuable than optimizing for a slightly higher valuation. This signal builds credibility that makes subsequent fundraising rounds significantly easier, a long-term benefit many founders overlook.
The first question in any fundraising or M&A discussion is always, 'What was your last round price?' An inflated number creates psychological friction and can halt negotiations before they begin. Founders should optimize for a valuation that allows for a clear up-round, not just the highest price today.
To stand out from the flood of PE firms, acquirers must demonstrate deep operational knowledge specific to the seller's industry. Discussing granular details like inventory management, billing rates, and software challenges builds trust and proves you are a credible partner, not just a financier. This operator-led approach resonates with founders.
When evaluating an acquisition, buyers weigh the financial profile and the clarity of the company's story. A compelling, data-backed narrative about future growth pathways can be more influential than raw numbers, as a lack of clarity introduces risk and makes it a "harder yes" for the acquirer.
When asked about a hypothetical $50M (10x ARR) acquisition offer, the founder of enterprise SaaS company Spresso called it 'a bit frothy.' He provides a grounded perspective on current valuations, suggesting a multiple in the 6-7x ARR range is more realistic for his type of business.
A valuation multiple like P/E is not a starting point for analysis; it's the final, compressed expression of a deep understanding of a business's economics. You must "earn the right" to use a multiple by first doing the complex work of analyzing cash flows, competitive advantages, and reinvestment opportunities.
The founder advises against always pursuing the highest valuation, noting it can lead to immense pressure and difficulties in subsequent rounds if the market normalizes. Prioritizing investor chemistry and a fair, responsible valuation is a more sustainable long-term strategy.