In markets like Australia where tech M&A is less mature, a HoldCo's primary job during sourcing is often educational. They must patiently reset founder valuation expectations, moving them away from inflated media headlines and towards fundamentals like profitability and comps.
Related Insights
To de-risk carve-out acquisitions, sophisticated buyers should recommend the seller commission a sell-side Quality of Earnings (QofE) report before a preliminary bid is made. A seller's willingness to invest in a QofE signals their motivation, and the report provides a more reliable financial perimeter, reducing the risk of later surprises and renegotiations.
Large companies rarely make cold acquisition offers. The typical path is a gradual process starting with a partnership or a small investment. This allows the acquirer to conduct due diligence from the inside, understand the startup's value, and build relationships before escalating to a full buyout.
The surge in Australian VC funding in 2020-21 created 500-900 software companies that are now under pressure to find an exit. This cohort of 'venture orphans' represents a significant, time-sensitive acquisition opportunity for HoldCos and other buyers.
The first question in any fundraising or M&A discussion is always, 'What was your last round price?' An inflated number creates psychological friction and can halt negotiations before they begin. Founders should optimize for a valuation that allows for a clear up-round, not just the highest price today.
Accepting too high a valuation can be a fatal error. The first question in any subsequent fundraising or M&A discussion will be about the prior round's price. An unjustifiably high number immediately destroys the psychology of the new deal, making it nearly impossible to raise more capital or sell the company, regardless of progress.
An acquisition target with a valuation that seems 'too good to be true' is a major red flag. The low price often conceals deep-seated issues, such as warring co-founders or founders secretly planning to compete post-acquisition. Diligence on people and their motivations is more critical than just analyzing the financials in these cases.
When a potential acquirer calls, the founder's default mode should be information gathering, not pitching. By asking strategic questions ("Who else are you talking to?", "What are your goals?"), founders can extract valuable competitive intelligence about the market and the larger company’s plans, regardless of whether a deal happens.
A HoldCo leader with founder experience has an 'unfair advantage' in sourcing proprietary deals. Direct outreach from one founder to another builds a level of trust and rapport that purely financial buyers or junior associates cannot easily replicate.
Instead of only the buyer investigating the target, successful M&A involves "reverse due diligence," where the target is educated about the buyer's company. This transparency helps the target team understand how they will fit, fostering excitement and alignment for the post-close journey.
The founder advises against always pursuing the highest valuation, noting it can lead to immense pressure and difficulties in subsequent rounds if the market normalizes. Prioritizing investor chemistry and a fair, responsible valuation is a more sustainable long-term strategy.
