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When asked about a hypothetical $50M (10x ARR) acquisition offer, the founder of enterprise SaaS company Spresso called it 'a bit frothy.' He provides a grounded perspective on current valuations, suggesting a multiple in the 6-7x ARR range is more realistic for his type of business.
When presented with a hypothetical 10x ARR acquisition offer, the 100% bootstrapped founder didn't reject it but delayed the conversation. His focus is on executing the shift to enterprise, believing the company's value will increase significantly in the near term, demonstrating a "grow through the offer" mindset.
In the current AI-driven tech M&A landscape, traditional valuation metrics are being upended. For high-potential companies, the exit multiple is sometimes calculated based on total capital raised (e.g., 10x) rather than annual recurring revenue (ARR), signaling a major shift in valuation.
For SaaS acquisitions over $2M, acquirers prioritize growth above all else. Taking profits means you're not reinvesting that cash into growth, which could ultimately reduce your ARR multiple and overall exit value. Profitability is seen as a deliberate choice to grow slower.
Founders often mistake $1M ARR for product-market fit. The real milestone is proven repeatability: a predictable way to find and win a specific customer profile who reliably renews and expands. This signal of a scalable business model typically emerges closer to the $5M-$10M ARR mark.
Investors and acquirers pay premiums for predictable revenue, which comes from retaining and upselling existing customers. This "expansion revenue" is a far greater value multiplier than simply acquiring new customers, a metric most founders wrongly prioritize.
Standout-CV's founder notes that his significant, ongoing involvement in the business makes potential acquirers reluctant to pay a simple multiple of MRR. Buyers discount the valuation because they must factor in the cost of hiring a replacement to handle the founder's tasks, a key consideration for solo founders planning an exit.
Private market valuations are benchmarked against public multiples. Currently, public SaaS firms with 30% growth trade at 15-20x revenue, twice the historical average. If this 'bedrock price' reverts to its 7-8x mean, it will trigger a cascade of valuation drops across the private markets.
To justify a high acquisition multiple, a founder must prove the business can operate without them. A powerful tactic is showing an acquirer your calendar to demonstrate that a majority of key clients are managed by the team, not the founder. This de-risks the acquisition and proves the company has true enterprise value.
The market has fundamentally reset how it values mature SaaS companies. No longer priced on revenue growth, they are now treated like industrial firms. The valuation bottom is only found when they trade at free cash flow multiples that fully account for stock-based compensation.
High SaaS revenue multiples make buyouts too expensive for management teams. This contrasts with traditional businesses valued on lower EBITDA multiples, where buyouts are more common. The exception is for stable, low-growth SaaS companies where a deal might be structured with seller financing.