Simply offering the latest model is no longer a competitive advantage. True value is created in the system built around the model—the system prompts, tools, and overall scaffolding. This 'harness' is what optimizes a model's performance for specific tasks and delivers a superior user experience.

Startups like Cognition Labs find their edge not by competing on pre-training large models, but by mastering post-training. They build specialized reinforcement learning environments that teach models specific, real-world workflows (e.g., using Datadog for debugging), creating a defensible niche that larger players overlook.

OpenAI favors "zero gradient" prompt optimization because serving thousands of unique, fine-tuned model snapshots is operationally very difficult. Prompt-based adjustments allow performance gains without the immense infrastructure burden, making it a more practical and scalable approach for both OpenAI and developers.

The primary driver for fine-tuning isn't cost but necessity. When applications like real-time voice demand low latency, developers are forced to use smaller models. These models often lack quality for specific tasks, making fine-tuning a necessary step to achieve production-level performance.

AI companies operate under the assumption that LLM prices will trend towards zero. This strategic bet means they intentionally de-prioritize heavy investment in cost optimization today, focusing instead on capturing the market and building features, confident that future, cheaper models will solve their margin problems for them.

In a crowded market where startups offer free or heavily subsidized AI tokens to gain users, Vercel intentionally prices its tokens at cost. They reject undercutting the market, betting instead that a superior, higher-quality product will win customers willing to pay for value.

OpenPipe's initial value was clear: GPT-4 was powerful but prohibitively expensive for production. They offered a managed flow to distill expensive workflows into cheaper, smaller models, resonating with early customers facing massive OpenAI bills and helping them reach $1M ARR in eight months.

As the current low-cost producer of AI tokens via its custom TPUs, Google's rational strategy is to operate at low or even negative margins. This "sucks the economic oxygen out of the AI ecosystem," making it difficult for capital-dependent competitors to justify their high costs and raise new funding rounds.

The AI value chain flows from hardware (NVIDIA) to apps, with LLM providers currently capturing most of the margin. The long-term viability of app-layer businesses depends on a competitive model layer. This competition drives down API costs, preventing model providers from having excessive pricing power and allowing apps to build sustainable businesses.