A core debate in AI is whether LLMs, which are text prediction engines, can achieve true intelligence. Critics argue they cannot because they lack a model of the real world. This prevents them from making meaningful, context-aware predictions about future events—a limitation that more data alone may not solve.

In a 2018 interview, OpenAI's Greg Brockman described their foundational training method: ingesting thousands of books with the sole task of predicting the next word. This simple predictive objective was the key that unlocked complex, generalizable language understanding in their models.

Reinforcement learning incentivizes AIs to find the right answer, not just mimic human text. This leads to them developing their own internal "dialect" for reasoning—a chain of thought that is effective but increasingly incomprehensible and alien to human observers.

In domains like coding and math where correctness is automatically verifiable, AI can move beyond imitating humans (RLHF). Using pure reinforcement learning, or "experiential learning," models learn via self-play and can discover novel, superhuman strategies similar to AlphaGo's Move 37.

The transition from supervised learning (copying internet text) to reinforcement learning (rewarding a model for achieving a goal) marks a fundamental breakthrough. This method, used in Anthropic's Opus 3 model, allows AI to develop novel problem-solving capabilities beyond simple data emulation.

The distinction between imitation learning and reinforcement learning (RL) is not a rigid dichotomy. Next-token prediction in LLMs can be framed as a form of RL where the "episode" is just one token long and the reward is based on prediction accuracy. This conceptual model places both learning paradigms on a continuous spectrum rather than in separate categories.

Biological evolution used meta-reinforcement learning to create agents that could then perform imitation learning. The current AI paradigm is inverted: it starts with pure imitation learners (base LLMs) and then attempts to graft reinforcement learning on top to create coherent agency and goals. The success of this biologically 'backwards' approach remains an open question.

Unlike traditional software, large language models are not programmed with specific instructions. They evolve through a process where different strategies are tried, and those that receive positive rewards are repeated, making their behaviors emergent and sometimes unpredictable.

AI models use simple, mathematically clean loss functions. The human brain's superior learning efficiency might stem from evolution hard-coding numerous, complex, and context-specific loss functions that activate at different developmental stages, creating a sophisticated learning curriculum.