The Democratic Party's loss of Silicon Valley's support wasn't about campaign funds, but about culture. By vilifying entrepreneurs, the party allowed Trump to become the champion of innovation and the future, alienating a generation of young people who admire wealth creation and technological progress.
Silicon Valley's default response to crazy ideas is curiosity, not cynicism, which fosters greater ambition. Crucially, the culture values the experience gained from failure. A founder who raised and lost $50 million is still seen as a valuable bet by investors, a dynamic not found in other ecosystems.
The dynamic between tech and government is not a simple decline but a cycle of alignment (post-WWII), hostility (2000s-2010s), and a recent return to collaboration. This "back to the future" trend is driven by geopolitical needs and cultural shifts, suggesting the current alignment is a return to a historical norm.
Economic policies benefiting older, asset-owning generations at the expense of younger ones are reshaping politics. The traditional left-right divide is becoming less relevant than the conflict between classes, which is highly correlated with age, creating unusual political alliances between formerly opposed groups.
While capital and talent are necessary, the key differentiator of innovation hubs like Silicon Valley is the cultural mindset. The acceptance of failure as a learning experience, rather than a permanent mark of shame, encourages the high-risk experimentation necessary for breakthroughs.
After temporary alliances like 'Red and Tech vs. Blue', the next major political shift will unite the establishment left and right against the tech industry. Blues resent tech's capitalists, Reds resent its immigrants, and the political center blames it for societal ills. This will create a powerful, unified front aiming to curtail tech's influence and wealth.
Political messaging focused on 'equity' and villainizing wealth often backfires. Most voters don't begrudge success; they want access to economic opportunity for themselves and their families. A winning platform focuses on enabling personal advancement and a fair shot, not on what is described as a 'patronizing' class warfare narrative.
Since the 1990s, the left has shifted from material concerns like wages to identity politics expressed in exclusionary academic rhetoric. This has actively repelled the working-class voters it historically championed and needs for a majority coalition.
A deep distrust of the bipartisan "neoliberal consensus" has made many young people receptive to any counter-narrative, whether from the left or right. This creates a powerful anti-establishment bloc that finds common ground in opposing the status quo, explaining the crossover appeal of populist figures.
The cultural shift in Silicon Valley away from national interest work was shaped by cultural touchstones. The film "The Social Network" symbolized a generation of founders inspired by dorm-room consumer apps, a stark contrast to the previous "Bob Noyce" generation focused on building the physical world and supporting national missions.
A cultural shift toward guaranteeing equal outcomes and shielding everyone from failure erodes economic dynamism. Entrepreneurship, the singular engine of job growth and innovation, fundamentally requires the freedom to take huge risks and accept the possibility of spectacular failure.