The US has shifted from anchoring a liberal international order to signaling it stands for nothing beyond its own power and interests. This amoral, transactional stance has alienated democratic allies and eroded the nation's soft power on the world stage.

A single Trump term was viewed globally as an aberration, but a second would force a permanent recalculation of America's reliability. All countries will adjust their relationship with the US, making it significantly more challenging for any future administration to sustain America's traditional global leadership role.

The true danger of 'predatory hegemony' is not an immediate, catastrophic failure but a gradual degradation of American power, wealth, and influence. This slow fraying of alliances and trust is harder to perceive in the short term but risks leaving the US in a permanently weakened global position over time.

National security requires a toolbox of military, economic, political, and cultural instruments. The Trump administration has focused almost exclusively on military power, degrading the capacity of other essential tools and leaving the U.S. more isolated on the world stage.

Constant, unfulfilled promises of an imminent deal with Iran make the U.S. appear weak and its leadership unreliable. This damages credibility with both allies and adversaries, regardless of whether a deal is eventually reached.

Trump’s signature strategy of building up military force while simultaneously offering diplomatic solutions creates a coercive environment. While it projects short-term strength, it damages long-term relationships, making allies and adversaries alike view the U.S. as an unpredictable and untrustworthy bully.

The Trump administration's aggressive rhetoric against Iran, followed by repeated inaction when its bluffs were called, created a 'second worst scenario.' This approach projected incompetence and weakness on a global scale, arguably more damaging to US credibility than a more reserved policy would have been.

Bill Burns argues that abandoning alliances and diplomacy for a narrow, hard-power-focused "self-interest" achieves for adversaries what they could not do themselves, describing it as a self-inflicted wound that undermines American power.

The US withdrawal from the JCPOA and other actions have taught the world that American commitments are unreliable. Both adversaries and allies must now operate under the game-theory assumption that the U.S. will eventually defect from any agreement, forcing them to hedge and fundamentally altering global diplomacy.