When competing for a scarce resource like a prime restaurant reservation or early college admission, the most popular option ('gold') is the riskiest. Strategically targeting a slightly less desirable option ('silver') dramatically increases your chances of success, which is often a better outcome than getting nothing at all.

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Maximizing daily output does not maximize yearly output. Long-term success requires investing in activities like building trust, relationships, or skills, which often yield no immediate returns and may seem inefficient day-to-day. Consistently choosing short-term tactics over long-term strategies ultimately limits growth.

People gravitate toward the middle option when given three choices, a bias known as extremeness aversion. To sell more of a specific product, frame it as the middle choice by introducing a more expensive, super-premium 'decoy' option. Its role is not to sell, but to make the target option look like a reasonable compromise.

Contrary to popular belief, successful entrepreneurs are not reckless risk-takers. They are experts at systematically eliminating risk. They validate demand before building, structure deals to minimize capital outlay (e.g., leasing planes), and enter markets with weak competition. Their goal is to win with the least possible exposure.

Don't chase every deal. Like a spearfisherman, anchor in a strategic area and wait patiently for the 'big fish'—a once-in-a-decade opportunity—then act decisively. This requires years of preparation and the discipline to let smaller opportunities pass by, focusing only on transformative deals.

Contrary to the economic theory that more choice is always better, people sometimes prefer fewer options. Removing a tempting choice, like a bowl of cashews before dinner, can lead to better outcomes by acting as a pre-commitment device, which helps overcome a lack of self-control.

Top tennis players like Rafael Nadal win only ~55% of total points but triumph by winning the *important* ones. This analogy illustrates that successful investing isn't about being right every time. It's about consistently tilting small odds in your favor across many bets, like a casino, to ensure long-term success.

The highest risk-adjusted return comes from amplifying what already works. The likelihood of a new marketing channel or sales script succeeding is statistically low. Instead of rolling the dice on something new, you should allocate resources to dramatically increase the volume of your proven winners.

In systems like visa lotteries or daycare waitlists, submitting multiple entries (e.g., both spouses applying for a visa) is a rational strategy to increase odds. Far from being unfair, this approach, called 'double dipping', often rewards the most motivated participants, which can improve the system's overall efficiency.

By introducing a third, strategically priced but less appealing option (the "decoy"), you can manipulate how customers perceive value. A medium popcorn priced close to the large makes the large seem like a much better deal. This proves that value is relative and can be shaped by deliberate choice architecture.

Life is full of 'hidden markets' for scarce resources like school admissions or popular reservations. These don't use price but have specific rules like lotteries, queues, or preference rankings. Understanding and mastering these non-obvious rules, as Wharton economist Judd Kessler explains, is key to getting what you want.