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While David Swenson's Yale model is famous, investors can learn from older, less-publicized endowment strategies. This highlights the need to adapt core investment principles to current markets rather than rigidly copying a single, popular historical approach.
When David Swenson published the "Yale Model," many institutions tried to copy it without possessing Yale's resources, network, or manager selection expertise. This led many to chase private equity and hedge funds ill-equipped, resulting in them backing lower-quartile managers and achieving poor results.
The key to emulating professional investors isn't copying their trades but understanding their underlying strategies. Ackman uses concentration, Buffett waits for fear-driven discounts, and Wood bets on long-term innovation. Individual investors should focus on developing their own repeatable framework rather than simply following the moves of others.
David Swenson's endowment model has two parts: diversified market exposure (beta) and manager outperformance (alpha). While wealth advisors can easily replicate the beta part using low-cost ETFs, they lack the institutional resources to consistently select top-quartile managers who generate true alpha.
The once-revolutionary strategy of heavy allocation to private assets, pioneered by Yale's David Swenson, has been so widely copied that it has lost its edge. Gurley argues this 'mimic effect' has led most endowments to be over-invested in illiquid private equity and venture funds with potentially inflated, stale valuations.
While the endowment model is popular, its implementation via managers with high portfolio churn (like long-short funds) is ill-suited for family offices. Unlike tax-exempt endowments, taxable investors suffer the full cost of frequent trading, requiring a modified, more tax-aware strategy.
Australia's Future Fund started with a $60B lump sum, forcing a conservative initial strategy to avoid a catastrophic early loss. This contrasts with funds that grow via small contributions and can afford a higher risk appetite from the outset. Initial funding conditions significantly shape long-term strategy.
David Kaiser clarifies that "not adapting" refers to the core investment rules, not the portfolio itself. The rules (the "how") remain consistent, but applying them to a changing market naturally results in an evolving portfolio (the "what"). This avoids chasing trends while still adapting to market conditions.
Inheriting a portfolio means spending years reviewing and slowly changing it. Starting from scratch, while painful initially, forces a team to build a cohesive culture, process, and sourcing engine from the ground up, creating a stronger foundation for the long term.
The key question for institutions isn't "how do we access the best managers?" but "what is unique about us that facilitates privileged access to assets or managers?" This shifts the focus from picking to leveraging inherent advantages.
The best investors, such as FPA's Steve Romick, avoid being dogmatic and are willing to evolve their strategies when presented with new evidence. Buffett's pivot into Apple, despite his historical aversion to tech, is a prime example of adapting one's framework to a changing world.