Product-market fit isn't about creating demand from scratch. It's about identifying a massive, existing wave of change (like cloud, mobile, or AI) and building a product (the "surfboard") to ride it. Success comes from correctly identifying and timing the wave, then making adjustments, not from paddling in calm water.
Product-market fit isn't a sudden switch but a palpable shift in momentum. As a founder, you feel the change from pushing against the current (hard selling with little traction) to suddenly being pulled by it (easier sales, inbound interest). This directional change in velocity is the clearest signal that you're onto something.
In fast-moving industries like AI, achieving product-market fit is not a final destination. It's a temporary state that only applies to the current 'chapter' of the market. Founders must accept that their platform will need to evolve significantly and be rebuilt for the next chapter to maintain relevance and leadership.
Successful startups tap into organic customer needs that already exist—a 'pull' from the market. In contrast, 'conjuring demand' involves a founder trying to convince a market of a new worldview without prior evidence. This is a much harder and less reliable path to building a business.
PMF isn't a one-time achievement. Market shifts, like new technology or major events, can render your existing model obsolete. Successful companies must be willing to disrupt themselves and find new PMF to stay relevant.
The idea that startups find product-market fit and then simply scale is a myth. Great companies like Microsoft and Google continuously evolve and reinvent themselves. Lasting success requires ongoing adaptation, not resting on an initial achievement.
Founders must distinguish between persistence and fighting a losing battle. If you constantly feel like you're pushing a boulder uphill to convince the market, you're on the wrong path. Genuine product-market fit feels like the market is pulling you, and your job is to sprint to keep up.
This reframes the fundamental goal of a startup away from a supply-side focus (building) to a demand-side focus (discovery). The market's unmet need is the force that pulls a company and its product into existence, not the other way around.
Market dynamics are not static. What was once a 'wave'—a new, urgent problem for everyone—can evolve into a series of 'dams' and eventually a stable 'river.' A common mistake is to build for the hype of a wave after it has crested, by which point it no longer provides the same opportunity for explosive growth.
Using a child's toy analogy, demand is a pre-existing hole (e.g., a star shape) and your product is the block. Founders fail when they build a block and then search for a hole it fits. The real job is to first deeply understand the shape of the hole, then craft a block that fits it perfectly.
Jack Conte distinguishes the search for product-market fit from scaling. He argues the right "strategy" for finding fit is actually no strategy—it is about the speed of iteration and learning from mistakes as quickly as possible to discover what customers truly value.