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When Congress fails to pass legislation addressing the negative impacts of globalization on the working class, the executive branch may resort to tariffs. While a blunt instrument, tariffs are used as a last-ditch effort to re-shore manufacturing and restore leverage to domestic workers, bypassing legislative gridlock.

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The steep tariff on foreign-made drugs is an aggressive tactic to compel pharmaceutical companies to bring manufacturing back to the US. It aims to solve two critical problems: reducing strategic dependency on adversaries like China and rebuilding domestic manufacturing jobs.

Unlike previous administrations that used trade policy for domestic economic goals, Trump's approach is distinguished by his willingness to wield tariffs as a broad geopolitical weapon against allies and adversaries alike, from Canada to India.

Tariffs are framed not as a temporary negotiating tactic, but as a critical policy to correct 'unnatural,' decades-long trade deficits that hollowed out the US industrial base. By changing the unit economics of building in America, they are a tool for reindustrialization and spurring domestic investment.

Given a tight legislative calendar and procedural hurdles in Congress before an election, sweeping legislation is improbable. The administration is more likely to rely on executive actions, like agency directives and tariff policy changes. These tools can be implemented quickly and unilaterally to provide voters with a tangible impact ahead of November.

Helping the middle class is a matter of economic physics, not emotional appeals. The most effective strategy is to create a labor market where there are more jobs than workers. This is achieved by re-shoring manufacturing and controlling the influx of cheap labor, which gives domestic workers the leverage to command higher wages.

The US faces two existential threats: strategic vulnerability to China and the socio-economic collapse of its working class. This forces a difficult but necessary policy choice to bring manufacturing home, accepting higher costs to ensure national security and domestic stability.

By shipping millions of jobs overseas, globalism forced American workers to compete with a much larger, cheaper international labor pool. This eliminated employers' need to compete for a finite domestic workforce, leading to wage stagnation. The proposed solution is to bring manufacturing jobs back to the U.S.

The primary goal of certain US tariffs is not to generate revenue but to strategically weaken China's economy. By incentivizing US businesses to leave China, the US aims to slow its rival's growth, thereby protecting the dollar's global reserve status from the rising yuan.

The long-standing American political consensus favoring lower trade barriers has been replaced. Industrial policy, with active government shaping of key sectors via tariffs and investment, is now a durable, bipartisan strategy seen under both Trump and Biden administrations.

Despite expected legislative gridlock, investors should focus on the executive branch. The president's most impactful market tools, such as tariff policy and deregulation via executive agencies, do not require congressional approval. Significant policy shifts can therefore occur even when Congress is divided and inactive.