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The US government officially values its gold at a 1973 price of $42/oz. Updating this to the market price could instantly add nearly a trillion dollars to its balance sheet, which could then back new gold-linked Treasury bonds to compete with China's strategy.
By creating a gold exchange based on physical delivery, China aims to become the global price-setter for gold. This establishes a parallel financial system, allowing international trade to be settled in yuan anchored to gold and directly challenging the dollar's dominance.
The US freezing Russian assets and cutting SWIFT access during the Ukraine war demonstrated the risks of relying on the dollar. This prompted countries like China to accelerate their diversification into gold, viewing it as a geopolitically neutral asset to reduce their vulnerability to US foreign policy and sanctions.
Facing unprecedented government debt, a cycle of money printing and currency devaluation is likely. Investors should follow the lead of central banks, which are buying gold at record rates while holding fewer Treasury bonds, signaling a clear institutional strategy to own hard assets.
China is engaging in economic warfare by systematically reducing its holdings of US debt. This strategy targets the foundation of the US economy, which is 70% based on debt-fueled spending. By simultaneously pushing a gold-backed digital yuan, China aims to undermine the dollar's reserve status.
Beyond strategic ports, China's maneuvering includes creating financial infrastructure, like a South American gold corridor, as part of a larger strategy to establish a gold-backed currency that could rival and undermine the US dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.
Global central banks are buying gold not just for diversification, but as a strategic hedge against geopolitical risks. The use of financial sanctions against nations like Russia has accelerated this trend, as countries seek assets outside the direct control of the US-dominated financial system.
China is the world's largest gold producer and importer and exports none of it, likely holding ten times more than officially stated. A sudden declaration of its true reserves could function as a 'financial declaration of war,' severely threatening the US dollar's global standing.
By banning paper gold, China forces its citizens' investment appetite into physical gold. This creates a massive, decentralized buying force that drains physical reserves from Western vaults, undermining their ability to run a fractional reserve paper market.
The US government values its massive gold reserves at a decades-old price of $42/ounce. By simply revaluing this gold to modern market prices, it can increase its stated assets by over $800 billion. This accounting change would make US debt appear more credit-worthy to foreign investors without purchasing new assets.
The West's financial system relies on physical gold reserves to underpin its vast paper trading markets. By physically removing gold bars, China reduces the base asset available for this fractional reserve game, directly weakening a key pillar of Western financial power.