Axios CEO Jim VandeHei argues that while costs for top reporting talent will rise, specialized media will become more profitable. This is because AI will drastically reduce all other operational costs—like distribution, marketing, and back-end technology—freeing up capital for core talent.
Jim VandeHei predicts that as AI makes general information free and ubiquitous, the market value of distinctive, human-driven expertise will soar. Media companies with deep, niche reporting will thrive, while those producing generic content that can be easily replicated by AI will fail.
The traditional Hollywood production model, with its bloated crews and high costs, is unsustainable. AI will drastically lower production costs while audience preferences shift to short-form video. This dual threat will force a brutal economic reckoning and consolidation.
Contrary to expectations, analysis shows that sectors with low profit per employee, such as healthcare and consumer staples, stand to gain the most from AI. High-tech firms already have very high profit per employee, so the relative impact of AI-driven efficiency is smaller.
Don't view AI through a cost-cutting lens. If AI makes a single software developer 10x more productive—generating $5M in value instead of $500k—the rational business decision is to hire more developers to scale that value creation, not fewer.
As AI drives the cost of content creation to zero, the world floods with 'average' material. In this environment, the most valuable and scarce skill becomes 'taste'—the ability to identify, curate, and champion high-quality, commercially viable work. This elevates the role of human curators over pure creators.
VCs have traditionally ignored the massive $16T services sector due to its low margins. AI automation can fundamentally change this by eliminating repetitive tasks, allowing these companies to achieve margin profiles similar to software businesses, thus making the sector newly viable for venture investment.
The narrative of AI destroying jobs misses a key point: AI allows companies to 'hire software for a dollar' for tasks that were never economical to assign to humans. This will unlock new services and expand the economy, creating demand in areas that previously didn't exist.
Historically, labor costs dwarfed software spending. As AI automates tasks, software budgets will balloon, turning into a primary corporate expense. This forces CFOs to scrutinize software ROI with the same rigor they once applied only to their workforce.
AI will commoditize the *act* of creating content (the 'doing'). The value will shift entirely to the *idea* behind the content (the 'thinking'), making strategic creativity the most valuable skill.
Marks questions whether companies will use AI-driven cost savings to boost profit margins or if competition will force them into price wars. If the latter occurs, the primary beneficiaries of AI's efficiency will be customers, not shareholders, limiting the technology's impact on corporate profitability.