Legendary investor James Anderson views a globally distributed team with inherent communication friction as a benefit. This "grit in the system" prevents the team from getting sucked into reacting to daily market noise and helps them maintain focus on long-term, power-law returns.
Investor James Anderson confirms that NVIDIA investing in its own customers creates a circular flow of capital reminiscent of Lucent's practices during the dot-com bubble. This signals a risk of excessive short-term investment that may lead to a future market downdraft.
Citing the president of the Santa Fe Institute, investor James Anderson argues that current AI is the "opposite of intelligence." It excels at looking up information from a vast library of data, but it cannot think through problems from first principles. True breakthroughs will require a different architecture and a longer time horizon.
The true disruption from AVs isn't cheaper transport, but the transformation of cars into productive spaces—moving offices, hotel rooms, or media centers. This framing shifts the value proposition from cost savings to creating new revenue streams and unlocking vast amounts of consumer time, impacting even real estate.
Separating investment teams by stage (seed, growth, public) creates misaligned incentives and arbitrary knowledge silos. A unified, multi-stage team can focus only on the handful of companies that truly matter, follow them across their entire lifecycle, and "never miss" an opportunity, even if the entry point changes.
The massive capital expenditure by hyperscalers on AI will likely create an oversupply of capacity. This will crash prices, creating a golden opportunity for a new generation of companies to build innovative applications on cheap AI, much like Amazon utilized the cheap bandwidth left after the dot-com bust.
The Chinese government's intense desire for technological self-sufficiency and global leadership paradoxically reduces investment risk. Beijing now "desperately" needs its deep science companies to succeed, making another unpredictable, Jack Ma-style crackdown on the industry less likely than in previous years.
Investor Morgan Samet believes the number one threat to future U.S. technological leadership is not foreign competition, but self-inflicted policies that hinder talent attraction. The U.S.'s "most valuable asset" is its status as a "melting pot" for the world's best minds, and ceding that advantage would be a critical failure.
