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  1. TBPN
  2. Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara
Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN · Feb 11, 2026

TBPN dissects Matt Shumer's viral AI essay, Tai Lopez's alleged fraud, & a surprising jobs report. Plus, insights from top tech CEOs.

AI Agents Are Dismantling Software Moats by Automating Complex Migrations

The primary moat for many SaaS companies was the complexity and high cost of migrating away from their product. AI agents can now automate this process, eroding that advantage, increasing competition, and giving buyers significant leverage to renegotiate contracts.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

Robinhood Uses Prediction Markets as a Customer Acquisition Funnel for Traditional Finance

Robinhood's strategy is not just to offer prediction markets as a standalone product. They serve as a top-of-funnel acquisition channel, attracting new, gaming-oriented users who can then be introduced to more stable, long-term products like retirement accounts and banking services.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

"Synthetic Fingerprinting" Enables GPS Alternatives by Simulating Sensor Data Remotely

Juxta's GPS alternative relies on "synthetic fingerprinting," a method of simulating IMU (inertial measurement unit) data at scale. This allows them to map any indoor or underground environment, like a warehouse, entirely remotely, eliminating the need for expensive and slow physical data collection.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

AI's Rise Isn't Like COVID; Its Impact Varies Dramatically by Profession

Unlike COVID, which universally and immediately affected everyone, AI's disruption is gradual and highly sector-specific. A surgeon's job isn't changing this month, but a software engineer's is. The comparison creates misplaced urgency for many outside of tech.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

New SaaS Platforms Beat Incumbents by Narrowly Targeting an Underserved Niche

Monaco's strategy is to be purpose-built for early-stage startups. This allows them to bundle multiple tools into a simpler, more intuitive platform. They avoid the deep but complex functionality of incumbents like Salesforce, which often works against smaller companies that need speed and simplicity, not feature bloat.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

Real-World Exponential Growth Is a Myth; Most Are Just a Series of S-Curves

Both COVID's spread and technological progress, like AI, appear exponential but are constrained by real-world limits, turning them into logistic or S-curves. Pandemics cap out at population size, while tech hits bottlenecks before the next innovation creates a new growth curve.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

Fusion Energy Startups Invert the Software Risk Model: Tech Risk Is Everything

Twilio founder Jeff Lawson contrasts his new fusion energy venture with software. For software, technology is relatively easy but market demand is uncertain. For fusion energy, the market is guaranteed—everyone needs cheap, clean energy. The entire risk is technical and executional: can you actually build it at scale?

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

AI Is More Likely to Create 'Faker' Abstract Jobs Than Cause Mass Unemployment

Rather than destroying jobs, AI's productivity gains will lead to the creation of more abstract, seemingly "fake" roles. For example, individuals now earn a salary directly from platforms like X simply by posting AI-generated content, a trend that is expected to grow as the creator economy evolves.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

New AI Sales Platforms Are Replacing Entire Workflows, Not Just Tools

Sam Blond's Monaco aims to replace the entire sales workflow with agents, not just point solutions like a CRM or data provider. The platform proactively identifies companies, contacts, and messaging, then schedules meetings, fundamentally shifting the salesperson's role from low-value prospecting to high-value relationship management.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

xAI's Founder Exodus Signals a Strategic Shift from AI Research to Scaled Engineering

The departure of half of xAI's founding team, many of whom are researchers, indicates a pivot away from speculative research projects. The company's focus appears to be on massive engineering feats, like space-based data centers, to win through sheer scale rather than novel AI breakthroughs.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

China's AI Video Models May Outpace US Rivals by Training on Copyrighted Data

The high quality of ByteDance's C-Dance video model suggests it may be trained on copyrighted material, like David Attenborough's voice, which US labs are legally restricted from using. This freedom from IP constraints could give Chinese firms a significant competitive advantage in media generation.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

Shopify's True Moat Is Its Back-Office 'Retail Operating System,' Not Its Storefronts

Shopify President Harley Finkelstein argues that while AI will rewrite user interfaces, it won't replace core transaction infrastructure. Shopify's defensibility comes from its comprehensive back-office system managing inventory, taxes, payments, and fraud, which is far harder to replicate than a simple storefront.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago

Tai Lopez's Alleged Ponzi Scheme Targeted a Generation He Groomed with 'Info Product' Dreams

Lopez's ability to raise $230M for failing retail brands stemmed from his earlier success inspiring thousands of young men to pursue personal branding and sell info products. This cultivated a loyal audience primed to trust his get-rich-quick investment pitches, demonstrating the power of long-term audience cultivation for fraudulent ends.

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara thumbnail

Is Something Big Happening?, Tai Lopez Charged in $122M Fraud, U.S. Adds 130K Jobs | Harley Finkelstein, Vlad Tenev, Matt Shumer, Jeff Lawson, Sam Blond, John Ferrara

TBPN·8 days ago