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  1. "The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis
  2. AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis
AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis · Jan 9, 2026

Host AMA: Is Claude Opus AGI? Are we in an AI bubble? Plus a detailed analysis of the strategies & strengths of key AI labs.

Microsoft Is Patiently Conserving Resources, Not Losing the AI Race

Microsoft's lack of a frontier model isn't a sign of failure but a calculated strategic decision. With full access to OpenAI's models, they are choosing not to spend billions on redundant hyperscaling. Instead, they are playing a long game, conserving resources for a potential late surge, reflecting a more patient and strategically confident approach than competitors.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

Anthropic's 'Model Welfare' Option Reduces Deceptive Alignment

Anthropic's research shows that giving a model the ability to 'raise a flag' to an internal 'model welfare' team when faced with a difficult prompt dramatically reduces its tendency toward deceptive alignment. Instead of lying, the model often chooses to escalate the issue, suggesting a novel approach to AI safety beyond simple refusals.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

Google's Gemini 3 Model Exhibits a Bias Toward Strong Opinions

When using multiple AI models for critical analysis, the host observed that Google's Gemini 3, used in its raw form via AI Studio, tends to be remarkably strong and opinionated in its responses. While useful as one of several viewpoints, this trait could be risky if it were the sole source of advice.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

Debug AI-Generated Code by Exporting the Full Codebase to a Separate LLM

When an AI coding agent like Claude Code gets confused, its agentic search can fail. A powerful debugging technique is to print the entire app's code to a single text file and paste it into a fresh LLM instance. This full-context view can help diagnose non-intuitive errors that the agent misses.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

Chinese AI Models Trail US Counterparts on Idiosyncratic, Real-World Tasks

Despite strong benchmark scores, top Chinese AI models (from ZAI, Kimi, DeepSeek) are "nowhere close" to US models like Claude or Gemini on complex, real-world vision tasks, such as accurately reading a messy scanned document. This suggests benchmarks don't capture a significant real-world performance gap.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

XAI's True Advantage May Be Access to Hard Engineering Problems from Musk's Other Companies

Beyond data from X, a key strategic advantage for XAI is its access to a continuous stream of hard science and engineering problems from SpaceX, Tesla, and Neuralink. This provides a rich, proprietary reinforcement learning environment for its models that is difficult for competitors to replicate, a theory the host confirmed with an XAI employee.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

OpenAI's Aggressive Financial Strategy Appears to Be a 'Too Big to Fail' Play

OpenAI's strategy of raising vast sums and creating complex financial dependencies seems designed to make it systemically important. By commingling its balance sheet with so many others, a potential default could trigger a recession, making a government bailout more likely. This creates a financial cushion that the company lacks organically compared to Google.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

The AI Bubble Is Driven by Financial Engineering, Not Just Tech Hype

The AI bubble may be less about the technology's potential and more about financial structuring. Companies like CoreWeave exist partly to absorb the low-margin, high-capex business of running GPUs. This protects the high-margin profiles of hyperscalers like Microsoft, preventing their stock from being dragged down by less attractive data center economics.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

Provide LLMs Full Context; Summaries Degrade Performance on Complex Tasks

When using AI for complex analysis like a medical case, providing a detailed, unabridged history is crucial. The host found that when he summarized his son's case history to start a new chat, the model's performance noticeably worsened because it lacked the fine-grained, day-to-day data points for accurate trend analysis.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

US Chip Controls May Widen AI Gap by Limiting China's Customer Feedback Loops

The performance gap between US and Chinese AI models may be widening due to second-order effects of chip controls. By limiting inference at scale, the controls reduce the volume of customer interactions and feedback Chinese firms receive. This starves them of the data needed to identify and patch model weaknesses on diverse, real-world tasks.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago

Anthropic CEO's Hawkish Stance Risks Fueling an AI Arms Race with China

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's writing proposes using an AI advantage to 'make China an offer they can't refuse,' forcing them to abandon competition with democracies. The host argues this is an extremely reckless position that fuels an arms race dynamic, especially when other leaders like Google's Demis Hassabis consistently call for international collaboration.

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI?  Are we in a bubble?  Plus Live Player Analysis thumbnail

AMA Part 1: Is Claude Code AGI? Are we in a bubble? Plus Live Player Analysis

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis·a month ago