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  1. Decoder with Nilay Patel
  2. The EV tax credit is dead. What now?
The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel · Oct 16, 2025

The US EV tax credit is gone. Can American automakers innovate to compete with China and make EVs affordable without subsidies? A tough road ahead.

The Trump Administration's Anti-EV Policy Undermines Its Own "Pro-Manufacturing" Goals

The administration killed a tax credit that directly spurred billions in investment for new EV and battery factories, primarily in Republican-led states. This move is described as "the most anti-manufacturing thing that you possibly could do."

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago

Killing the EV Subsidy Forces US Automakers to Emulate Chinese Manufacturing Efficiency

Without government incentives to offset high costs, American carmakers like Ford are now forced to pursue radical manufacturing innovations and smaller vehicle platforms, directly citing Chinese competitors like BYD as the model for profitable, affordable EVs.

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago

US Automakers' Initial Strategy of Electrifying Large SUVs and Trucks Has Proven Ineffective

The belief that consumers needed electric versions of familiar gas-guzzling trucks and SUVs led to EVs that were too big, heavy, and expensive. The market is now forcing a pullback from this strategy towards smaller, more efficient, and profitable designs.

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago

The US EV Tax Credit Was a Geopolitical Tool to Build a Non-Chinese Supply Chain

The credit's requirements for North American manufacturing and sourcing from trade partners were designed to counter China's dominance in the EV supply chain. Its elimination undermines this strategic goal, leaving tariffs as the primary, less effective tool.

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago

A Tax Credit Loophole Made Luxury and Foreign EVs Unintentionally Eligible for Subsidies

The expired IRA tax credit had strict "Made in America" rules for purchased EVs, but these rules didn't apply to leased vehicles. This loophole allowed consumers to get the subsidy benefit on German-made luxury EVs and others that would not have otherwise qualified.

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago

Removing EV Subsidies May Help Sales Long-Term by Depoliticizing the Product

While the loss of the tax credit will hurt sales short-term, it also removes the "government mandate" attack line used by politicians. This forces EVs to be judged as just another car, allowing them to compete on their own merits like lower operating costs and better performance.

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago

Ford and GM's Quick Retreat From a Tax Credit Workaround Shows Automakers' Political Timidity

Despite devising a clever, IRS-approved leasing scheme to extend EV credits, both companies immediately abandoned the plan after a few senators threatened an investigation. This rapid reversal highlights the auto industry's extreme sensitivity to political pressure, even when legally in the clear.

The EV tax credit is dead. What now? thumbnail

The EV tax credit is dead. What now?

Decoder with Nilay Patel·4 months ago