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The global financial system forces other countries into a "dual carry trade" with both their local currency and the US dollar. Because currencies are relative, one of these trades is always working against them. This is a structural flaw the US can exploit to exert pressure, a problem the US itself doesn't face.
The era of a strong, passive dollar designed to attract foreign capital is over. The US now actively manipulates the dollar's value to suit strategic needs, rewarding allies and punishing enemies. The currency has been drafted into foreign policy as a tool of statecraft, moving from a stable 'King' to an active 'General'.
Global demand for dollars as the reserve currency forces the U.S. to run persistent trade deficits to supply them. This strengthens the dollar and boosts import power but hollows out the domestic industrial base. A future decline in dollar demand would create a painful economic transition.
When the US raises rates to fight domestic inflation, it forces down the value of foreign-held Treasury bonds. This acts as a de facto early withdrawal penalty on other nations' dollar reserves, allowing the US to exert financial pressure under the guise of domestic policy.
America's ability to deficit spend relies on the world's appetite for US debt, which allows it to export inflation. If countries dump this debt, the US can no longer "tax the world," triggering immediate domestic austerity and creating a global power vacuum likely to be filled by China.
Instead of the world exploiting America, the US financial system exploits the world. When the Fed prints dollars, it taxes billions of global dollar-holders. Blue-leaning entities get the new money first (Cantillon effect), while Red-leaning Americans feel the pain of inflation without the initial benefit.
By establishing the dollar as the world's reserve currency after WWII, the U.S. gained the unique power to run huge debts and print money. This effectively forced other countries holding and trading dollars to absorb the inflationary costs of U.S. spending, funding the 'American dream' at global expense.
Talk of de-dollarization ignores the reality of the U.S. current account deficit, which requires selling over a trillion dollars in financial assets annually. As long as the world buys these dollar-denominated assets (debt and equity), the dollar's dominance is structurally reinforced, not diminished.
The US is signaling a major shift from its long-standing 'King Dollar' policy. By being willing to devalue the dollar, it can strategically intervene in currency markets to bolster allies like Japan while simultaneously hurting economic adversaries like China by making US manufacturing more competitive.
Using the dollar as a weapon forces other countries to build their own financial 'armor' and alternative transaction systems (like BrixPay). This response fragments the global economy into hostile blocs, ironically diminishing the dollar's long-term dominance and reducing America's ability to finance its deficits.
Each time the U.S. uses financial sanctions, it demonstrates the risks of relying on the dollar system. This incentivizes adversaries like Russia and China to accelerate the development of parallel financial infrastructure, weakening the dollar's long-term network effect and dominance.