Kyle Samani has completely abandoned the thesis that crypto's future lies in non-financial consumer dApps (Web3). He now believes the thesis is "just wrong." Instead, crypto's primary role in developed nations will be as invisible financial plumbing, while its main user-facing application is for international users who need access to stablecoins.

Related Insights

Crypto's path to mass adoption may involve making the technology invisible. Ty Haney's loyalty platform, TYB, leverages crypto infrastructure to increase brand LTV, but consumers are completely unaware they are using a web3 product, removing friction and boosting adoption.

Widespread adoption of blockchain, particularly stablecoins, has been hindered by a "semi-illegal" regulatory environment in the U.S. (e.g., Operation Chokepoint). Now that this barrier is removed, major financial players are racing to integrate the technology, likely making it common within a year.

While consumer fintech gets the hype, the most systematically important opportunities lie in building 'utility services' that connect existing institutions. These complex, non-sexy infrastructure plays—like deposit networks—enable the entire ecosystem to function more efficiently, creating a deep moat by becoming critical financial market plumbing.

For hundreds of millions in developing nations, stablecoins are not an investment vehicle but a capital preservation tool. Their core value is providing a simple hedge against high-inflation local currencies by pegging to the USD, a use case that far outweighs the desire for interest yield in those markets.

Kyle Samani is "intellectually short" Bitcoin because he sees it as an unproductive asset. He argues platforms like Ethereum and Solana offer the same core benefits—a fixed, code-defined supply—while also being economically productive. This makes them a superior long-term asset class from a first-principles perspective, despite his firm holding some Bitcoin financially.

Multicoin's conviction in Solana came from underwriting its founder, Anatoly Yakovenko. Unlike competitors focused on academic breakthroughs, Yakovenko prioritized shipping code and explicitly avoided trying to solve unsolved computer science problems. This pragmatic, execution-focused approach was the key differentiator that earned Multicoin's bet in the crowded Layer-1 race.

Multicoin's central thesis is that crypto's ultimate purpose is creating "Internet Capital Markets"—the ability to trade any asset, from anywhere, 24/7, via any software. This broad vision of permissionless, programmable finance is seen as the most significant long-term impact of blockchain, destined to supersede more niche consumer applications or "Web3" concepts.

Multicoin's Kyle Samani gave up on Ethereum in 2017 after its leadership failed to present a clear scaling plan. He perceived a culture that was "to their core culturally oblivious" to the urgent need for a solution. This perceived failure in execution and focus, at the peak of Ethereum's dominance, directly motivated his firm to aggressively seek alternatives.

The high profits enjoyed by stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle are temporary. Major financial institutions (Visa, JPMorgan) will eventually launch their own stablecoins, not as primary profit centers, but as low-cost tools to acquire and retain customers. This will drive margins down for the entire industry.