Economist Arthur Laffer views the rise of cryptocurrencies as a market-driven effort to circumvent government currencies. He sees it as a parallel to the pre-1913 private money system, offering a way for individuals to achieve financial stability and escape the inflation and debasement caused by central banks.
By creating a regulatory framework that requires private stablecoins to be backed 1-to-1 by U.S. Treasuries, the government can prop up demand for its ever-increasing debt. This strategy is less about embracing financial innovation and more about extending the U.S. dollar's lifespan as the global reserve currency.
While private crypto has scams, the true systemic risk is Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Being programmable and centralized, they give governments the power to monitor, block, and control every citizen's transactions, creating an infrastructure for authoritarian control under the guise of progress.
Framing Bitcoin as a store of value ("digital capital") and stablecoins (backed by US Treasuries) as the transactional currency is a brilliant political strategy. It reassures the US government by creating new, global demand for its debt, thus avoiding an antagonistic relationship.
Arthur Laffer frames the creation of the Fed as the government taking over a previously private monetary system. He notes that from 1776 to 1913, with a private money system, long-term inflation was zero. Since the Fed's creation, the price level has risen 35-fold, demonstrating the instability introduced by government control.
Technologies like AI and robotics create massive deflationary pressures. To counteract this, governments will be forced to print more fiat currency, debasing it. This macro environment makes a scarce, decentralized asset like Bitcoin a critical tool for corporations to preserve capital and protect their balance sheets from inflation.
Governments fund wars with opaque money printing. Because Bitcoin cannot be printed, it would force leaders to use direct taxation, which citizens would resist. Its unseizable nature also removes the economic incentive of conquering nations for their reserves.
The Federal Reserve's ability to print money is a direct mechanism to take value from every citizen without legislation. It is mathematically equivalent to government-sanctioned counterfeiting, devaluing currency and transferring wealth from the populace to the government, acting as a tax.
In a novel attempt to delay a debt crisis, policymakers are pushing for regulations that would force stablecoin issuers to back their digital dollars one-to-one with U.S. Treasuries. This cleverly creates a new, captive international market for government debt, helping to prop up the system.
During episodes of US government dysfunction, such as shutdowns, the dollar tends to weaken against alternative reserve assets. The concurrent strength in gold and Bitcoin provides tangible market validation for the 'dollar debasement' thesis, suggesting investors are actively seeking havens from perceived fiscal mismanagement.
The term "debasement trade" carries negative connotations of value erosion. Reframing it as a "purification trade" presents the rise of hard assets like gold and Bitcoin as a positive, healthy shift towards rediscovering sound money principles, rather than just a reaction to a failing system.