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With rising job anxiety fueled by AI, fewer professionals are leaving jobs for a two-year MBA. This has led to tuition "deflation," with mid-tier universities offering discounts up to 50% to attract students, while top-10 schools maintain their premium pricing.
New firm-level data shows that companies adopting AI are not laying off staff, but are significantly slowing junior-level hiring. The impact is most pronounced for graduates from good-but-not-elite universities, as AI automates the mid-level cognitive tasks these entry roles typically handle.
Contrary to the AI hype, enrollment in computer science is currently decreasing. David Malan attributes this to a one-two punch: a recent downturn in tech industry hiring reduced opportunities, and the rise of powerful AI tools has made prospective students anxious about the future relevance of programming skills.
A conversation with a job candidate from an economics master's program revealed significant anxiety among peers about the difficulty of securing employment. This ground-level anecdote suggests the labor market is tightening even for highly educated, skilled workers, a concerning sign for the broader economy.
Contrary to fears of mass unemployment, AI will create massive deflationary pressure, making goods and services cheaper. This will allow people to support their lifestyles by working fewer hours and retiring earlier, leading to a labor shortage as new AI-driven industries simultaneously create new jobs.
While high-profile layoffs make headlines, the more widespread effect of AI is that companies are maintaining or reducing headcount through attrition rather than active firing. They are leveraging AI to grow their business without expanding their workforce, creating a challenging hiring environment for new entrants.
The traditional value proposition of college is being challenged by AI tools that offer instant, expert-level information. For aspiring entrepreneurs, this shifts the calculus, making immediate real-world experience a more attractive and faster path to success than incurring debt for a formal degree.
Top universities operate like luxury brands such as LVMH by creating artificial scarcity, rejecting the vast majority of applicants. This strategy boosts their perceived value, allowing them to charge exorbitant tuition at incredibly high margins, effectively transferring wealth from middle-class families to university endowments, faculty, and administrators.
The cost of tax preparation services has plummeted by nearly 13% year-over-year. This significant price drop in a service-based industry highlights how AI and automation are already exerting strong deflationary pressure on specific white-collar jobs, a trend that is expected to accelerate.
Despite the prestige, an MBA can be a poor financial decision for high-performing young professionals. The two years of lost income and career advancement create a significant opportunity cost that often trumps the marginal gain from the degree, especially for those who could have been promoted in that same timeframe.
Debating AI's impact on education is a distraction from the real crisis: the business model of elite universities. By creating artificial scarcity and raising tuition faster than inflation, they have become a "corrupt cartel." The solution isn't technological, but simple: admit significantly more students.