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Jason reveals the harsh reality of the current seed fundraising funnel. Founders need to target 150 funds to secure 50 meetings, which leads to about 20 second meetings, ultimately resulting in only two term sheets. This is the new baseline for playing the game.
Fundraising is a numbers game. To generate a competitive process with three term sheets, you'll likely need 10 partner meetings. Achieving this requires around 20 deep dives from VCs, which stems from 40 first meetings. This means your initial outreach list must contain at least 50 qualified investors.
Founders often feel fundraising is a marketplace with weak signals. The reality is that it's a sales process. The founder's job is to qualify leads by researching an investor's portfolio, check size, and investment thesis to find a genuine fit, rather than hoping for a match.
YC now provides founders an investor's conversion rate (meetings vs. checks). A low rate signals to founders not to prioritize that meeting, forcing VCs to abandon a "catch-all" meeting approach in favor of being highly selective upfront to avoid damaging their reputation within the ecosystem.
Despite high returns, large VCs avoid seed investing because it's operationally intense (requiring 10-25x more meetings), access to top founders is a bottleneck, and their large funds require deploying big checks that are incompatible with small seed round sizes.
Merge's founder views the seed round not just as a capital raise but as a test of street smarts and sales skills. How a founder manages intros, creates FOMO, and navigates the "dating game" with VCs is a direct indicator of their future success in acquiring actual customers.
The YC fundraising process for top companies is a blitz. The best investors don't wait for scheduled meetings; they proactively ask to move them up, creating a frenzy where rounds can fully close in 36-48 hours. Juxta's founder took 16 meetings and received 16 investment offers, closing the round before most meetings occurred.
Thomas Mueller-Borja demystifies large-scale fundraising by breaking it down into a numbers game. To raise $2 billion with an average ticket of €50 million, you need 40 investors. Assuming a 20% conversion rate, this requires building and maintaining a prospect funnel of 200 global leads.
The most sought-after YC companies have rounds that fill and oversubscribe on the first day of fundraising, often within hours. This extreme velocity means VCs who require multiple meetings or lengthy diligence will lose the deal, necessitating a process built for one-call decisions.
Instead of broad roadshows, Deel's CEO builds deep relationships with a few key investors. By giving them continuous access to business data, he creates a dynamic where investors proactively offer term sheets, avoiding the traditional fundraising grind.
Saarinen contrasts his first startup's "brute force" fundraising (emailing 100 VCs) with Linear's targeted approach. He cultivated a few relationships, waited for a moment of peak company momentum (strong growth, positive metrics), and then approached his small, pre-vetted list to maximize leverage and make the process easy.